TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Mateusz Michta
Home
1.74
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210611118114––
Kamil Kos
Away
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:09 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeMateusz Michta to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
1210611118114––
H2H Mateusz Michta 12–6 Kamil Kos Kamil Kos has won 6 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:09What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Michta
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-6 in 18
Michta
Correct
gap of 6 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michta 1483 vs Kos 1454
Michta
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michta 20% vs Kos 60%
Kos
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michta 30% vs Kos 60%
Kos
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Michta -3 · Kos +1
Michta
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Michta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michta form (20%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichta 1.74 / Kos 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Michta)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13171534
Michta1.74
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Kos1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 31 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichta7wins
AwayKos3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMichta leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichta100%5 of 5
AwayKos60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michta5Kos5n = 10split evenly
S2Michta6Kos4n = 10Michta took 6 of 10
S3Michta4Kos6n = 10Kos took 6 of 10
S4Michta9Kos1n = 10Michta took 9 of 10
S5Michta2Kos2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichtaKosM − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match45.839.8+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichtaKosBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 235 vs 151 / 29951.9%50.5%122 / 235 vs 151 / 299Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.540.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichtaMichta 1.74/Kos 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.4%
Michta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Michta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 8 · 15:05M. Michta48111511113K. Kos40617891
LAug 28 · 15:05M. Michta399111091K. Kos4111712113
WAug 19 · 19:35M. Michta46111311113K. Kos34715571
WAug 18 · 18:00M. Michta4411715113K. Kos353111381
WAug 12 · 15:35M. Michta551211711143K. Kos51149115122
LAug 5 · 18:05M. Michta521111131162K. Kos52134159113
WJul 17 · 17:05M. Michta507101111113K. Kos3811127532
WJul 15 · 19:35M. Michta4211119113K. Kos34591191
LJul 14 · 15:35M. Michta4481171172K. Kos42115114113
WJul 8 · 15:35M. Michta3811115113K. Kos31491171
M. Michta10
WSep 21 · 18:30D. Kovtanyuk1.901013781M. Michta1.76121111113LSep 21 · 16:30L. Buklat1.831211113M. Michta1.8610650LSep 21 · 16:00M. Michta1.6041480J. Caban2.101116113LJul 2 · 22:00P. Kos1.9512712113M. Michta1.7510111091WJul 2 · 21:00M. Michta2.041111133K. Zapala1.6468110LJul 2 · 19:00T. Stachera1.78148119113M. Michta1.86121191152LJul 2 · 17:00P. Kos1.881115113M. Michta1.7641350WJul 2 · 16:00B. Gola1.5591080M. Michta2.201112113LJul 2 · 15:30M. Michta2.371161171K. Guzy1.4813113113LMay 27 · 22:10K. Guzy—1211113M. Michta—10690
K. Kos10
LSep 21 · 19:30K. Kos2.051431171K. Patryk1.6616118113WSep 21 · 15:00D. Kovtanyuk2.2041160K. Kos1.581113113LSep 21 · 14:30L. Buklat1.85118611113K. Kos1.8561111682WSep 15 · 22:40P. Kedzierski2.4961181192K. Kos1.45119117113WSep 15 · 20:00K. Patryk1.7612118772K. Kos1.951061111113LSep 15 · 19:00K. Kos1.361012111172P. Kedzierski2.801210137113LSep 15 · 18:00K. Kos1.449816151J. Komorowicz2.50111114173WSep 15 · 16:30K. Kos2.0081111113W. Arkadiusz1.71114881WSep 15 · 14:30K. Kos1.38111112113F. Baranski2.75681461LSep 14 · 19:30L. Buklat—1111113K. Kos—8380
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