TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Bradach vs Pavel Gireth 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Petr Bradach
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210811711211––
Pavel Gireth
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Gireth to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Bradach above · Pavel Gireth below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 72 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Pavel Gireth at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Petr Bradach 4–1 Pavel Gireth Pavel Gireth has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:25What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Gireth
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Bradach
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bradach 1815 vs Gireth 1823
Gireth
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bradach 60% vs Gireth 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bradach 40% vs Gireth 80%
Gireth
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bradach +2 · Gireth +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gireth)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBradach 2.00 / Gireth 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gireth)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13178903
Bradach2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog53% won 24 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back33% 8 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Gireth1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 32 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it82% 23 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeBradach4wins
AwayGireth1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderBradach leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBradach80%4 of 5
AwayGirethn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bradach5Gireth0n = 5Bradach took 5 of 5
S2Bradach3Gireth2n = 5Bradach took 3 of 5
S3Bradach2Gireth3n = 5Gireth took 3 of 5
S4Bradach2Gireth2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricBradachGirethB − GBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match35.633.0+2.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBradachGirethBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 238 vs 107 / 19653.4%54.6%127 / 238 vs 107 / 196Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GirethBradach 2.00/Gireth 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gireth · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gireth won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJul 7 · 16:30P. Bradach331111113P. Gireth238870
WJun 8 · 17:30P. Bradach3811115113P. Gireth32841191
WJun 8 · 16:30P. Bradach45111184113P. Gireth3949111142
WDec 18 · 18:30P. Bradach3811511113P. Gireth31911561
LDec 18 · 15:30P. Bradach24113641P. Gireth4071111113
P. Bradach10
WSep 23 · 15:00P. Bradach1.67791111113O. Kolisnyk2.1011116982WSep 23 · 14:00F. Wolf2.2081161142P. Bradach1.61118118113LSep 21 · 16:58P. Bradach2.631161112122J. Kanera1.446111310143WSep 21 · 16:00M. Huk2.1031140P. Bradach1.671113113LSep 21 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk2.20121175113P. Bradach1.61107111172LSep 21 · 14:30P. Bradach2.2561050J. Kanera1.571112113LSep 16 · 21:03P. Bradach2.639131091M. Huk1.44111112113LSep 16 · 20:00P. Bradach2.10981181M. Zahradka1.6711119113LSep 16 · 19:30J. Ruzicka1.8041111113P. Bradach1.91116571WSep 16 · 18:00P. Bradach1.7311146133M. Huk2.0071211111
P. Gireth10
WSep 23 · 15:30P. Gireth1.8371211113F. Wolf1.831110551WSep 23 · 14:30O. Kolisnyk3.50147651P. Gireth1.28121111113LSep 10 · 17:29J. Kanera1.9111116113P. Gireth1.80851171LSep 10 · 16:30P. Gireth1.53711851J. Kanera2.3811511113WSep 10 · 15:00P. Gireth1.36127117113J. Kycelt3.00101181142WSep 10 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk3.005180P. Gireth1.361111113WSep 2 · 17:30P. Gireth1.30912119153O. Svacha2.951110611132WSep 2 · 16:00P. Gireth1.6111116113J. Ruzicka2.20681171WSep 2 · 15:30O. Svacha3.258850P. Gireth1.331111113WSep 2 · 14:00P. Gireth1.441111113M. Jezek2.638690
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