TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Artur Grela vs Marcin Jadczyk 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Artur Grela
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210611711611––
Marcin Jadczyk
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarcin Jadczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Grela above · Marcin Jadczyk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 74 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Marcin Jadczyk at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Artur Grela 51–44 Marcin Jadczyk Marcin Jadczyk has won 44 of their 95 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:23What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jadczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-44 in 95
Grela
Wrong
gap of 7 in 95, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grela 1937 vs Jadczyk 1911
Grela
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grela 20% vs Jadczyk 100%
Jadczyk
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grela 50% vs Jadczyk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grela -1 · Jadczyk +5
Jadczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jadczyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadczyk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrela 1.83 / Jadczyk 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jadczyk)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13176985
Grela1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Jadczyk1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrela5wins
AwayJadczyk5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrela66.7%2 of 3
AwayJadczyk57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grela3Jadczyk7n = 10Jadczyk took 7 of 10
S2Grela8Jadczyk2n = 10Grela took 8 of 10
S3Grela7Jadczyk3n = 10Grela took 7 of 10
S4Grela2Jadczyk7n = 9Jadczyk took 7 of 9
S5Grela3Jadczyk3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrelaJadczykG − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.941.6−1.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrelaJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime629 / 1234 vs 977 / 167351%58.4%629 / 1234 vs 977 / 1673Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykGrela 1.83/Jadczyk 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jadczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jadczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 06:05A. Grela50911145113M. Jadczyk48115121192
LSep 10 · 13:45A. Grela26411741M. Jadczyk3711411113
LSep 10 · 07:00A. Grela4271111672M. Jadczyk45114811113
LSep 9 · 12:05A. Grela3621111482M. Jadczyk49119711113
WSep 4 · 14:10A. Grela53129147113M. Jadczyk521011121182
WSep 4 · 03:45A. Grela341111123M. Jadczyk2385100
WAug 26 · 12:55A. Grela4071111113M. Jadczyk33117781
WAug 26 · 03:45A. Grela485111011113M. Jadczyk3911812442
LAug 21 · 06:55A. Grela3911115932M. Jadczyk49881111113
LAug 20 · 12:05A. Grela31661181M. Jadczyk4111118113
A. Grela10
LSep 18 · 15:00A. Grela2.3811712372J. Kosowski1.538111011113WSep 18 · 13:45A. Grela2.001111133D. Wederlich1.7366110LSep 18 · 12:30A. Grela1.91641181J. Zandecki1.8011118113LSep 18 · 11:15J. Kuzmicz2.757111115113A. Grela1.4011771792LSep 18 · 10:25A. Grela1.73511991J. Stecyszyn2.0011911113WSep 18 · 08:30A. Grela2.201111113J. Kosowski1.616570WSep 18 · 06:55A. Grela1.801111113M. Olejnik1.913970WSep 18 · 05:40A. Grela1.44311119113J. Kuzmicz2.6311471182WSep 18 · 04:10A. Grela1.9171111113J. Zandecki1.80117361LSep 18 · 03:00A. Grela2.1072100D. Wederlich1.671111123
M. Jadczyk10
LSep 23 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.83118891J. Kuzmicz1.8391111113WSep 21 · 13:45A. Wiecek2.38981131M. Jadczyk1.5311119113WSep 21 · 12:55M. Murawski2.2012111031M. Jadczyk1.61101312113WSep 21 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.6712914113D. Michna2.1010111271WSep 21 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.671111113J. Kuzmicz2.109770WSep 21 · 09:40G. Felkel1.7311119652M. Jadczyk2.00431111113LSep 21 · 07:45D. Michna2.20711911113M. Jadczyk1.6111811452LSep 21 · 06:55G. Felkel1.73128711113M. Jadczyk2.00101111472LSep 21 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.671091181A. Wiecek2.1012115113LSep 21 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.67119671J. Kuzmicz2.1081111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Grela
Sep 23 · 05:40A. Grela2.10J. Kosowski1.67—Sep 23 · 06:30A. Grela1.57S. Kolasa2.25—Sep 23 · 08:05A. Grela1.40J. Kuzmicz2.75—Sep 23 · 09:00A. Grela1.44K. Kolodziej2.63—Sep 23 · 10:00A. Grela2.10J. Kosowski1.67—Sep 23 · 11:40A. Grela1.73J. Zandecki2.00—Sep 23 · 12:55A. Grela1.40K. Strowski2.75—Sep 23 · 14:35A. Grela1.57S. Kolasa2.25—
M. Jadczyk
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