TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Szymon Kolasa vs Jan Zandecki 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Szymon Kolasa
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111311118811117
Jan Zandecki
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Zandecki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSzymon Kolasa above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 98 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jan Zandecki at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Szymon Kolasa 16–17 Jan Zandecki Szymon Kolasa has won 16 of their 33 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:12What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zandecki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-17 in 33
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolasa 1877 vs Zandecki 1918
Zandecki
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolasa 40% vs Zandecki 60%
Zandecki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolasa 50% vs Zandecki 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolasa -1 · Zandecki -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zandecki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolasa form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolasa 1.91 / Zandecki 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zandecki)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13176724
Kolasa1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 16 days ago (Sep 07) · back after a break
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 54 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back31% 27 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 38
Zandecki1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 18)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite67% won 116 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it94% 51 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it77% 84 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolasa5wins
AwayZandecki5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolasa80%4 of 5
AwayZandecki80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolasa5Zandecki5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolasa4Zandecki6n = 10Zandecki took 6 of 10
S3Kolasa5Zandecki5n = 10split evenly
S4Kolasa4Zandecki4n = 8split evenly
S5Kolasa3Zandecki2n = 5Kolasa took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolasaZandeckiK − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.839.4−1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolasaZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime292 / 534 vs 470 / 84754.7%55.5%292 / 534 vs 470 / 847Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZandeckiKolasa 1.91/Zandecki 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zandecki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolasa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 31 · 12:30S. Kolasa4281171152J. Zandecki47117117113
LJul 31 · 04:10S. Kolasa23381111J. Zandecki3711114113
WJul 30 · 09:00S. Kolasa3911611113J. Zandecki31611681
WJul 30 · 04:30S. Kolasa46116117113J. Zandecki4371171172
WJul 14 · 04:10S. Kolasa518111011113J. Zandecki4111412862
WJun 18 · 09:20S. Kolasa48118117113J. Zandecki3971141162
LJun 18 · 04:10S. Kolasa2231450J. Zandecki381116113
WJun 17 · 09:00S. Kolasa331111113J. Zandecki258980
LJun 17 · 06:30S. Kolasa32513951J. Zandecki44111111113
LMar 30 · 12:25S. Kolasa4211951162J. Zandecki49711119113
S. Kolasa10
LSep 23 · 04:10J. Kosowski1.73711119113S. Kolasa2.0011361132LSep 7 · 13:45S. Kolasa3.251638101J. Folwarski1.33141111123WSep 7 · 12:30S. Kolasa1.734111110113K. Kolodziej2.0011251282LSep 7 · 10:00P. David1.73141711113S. Kolasa2.001219361LSep 7 · 09:20S. Kolasa2.1011760J. Kosowski1.671311113WSep 7 · 08:30S. Kolasa1.4011115113G. Poliniewicz2.75381141WSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591LSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113LSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113LSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830
J. Zandecki10
LSep 18 · 15:25D. Wederlich2.00491311113J. Zandecki1.73111111552LSep 18 · 14:35J. Stecyszyn3.901111113J. Zandecki1.178970WSep 18 · 12:30A. Grela1.91641181J. Zandecki1.8011118113WSep 18 · 11:40J. Kosowski1.6710111111102J. Zandecki2.10128137123WSep 18 · 10:00J. Kuzmicz2.6381231182J. Zandecki1.441110117113LSep 18 · 07:45J. Zandecki2.50118891M. Olejnik1.5081111113WSep 18 · 06:30J. Zandecki1.4071111113J. Kuzmicz2.75119941LSep 18 · 05:15J. Zandecki1.801112661D. Wederlich1.9141411113LSep 18 · 04:10A. Grela1.9171111113J. Zandecki1.80117361WSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830
Upcoming Matches
S. Kolasa
Sep 23 · 05:15S. Kolasa1.83J. Kuzmicz1.83—Sep 23 · 06:30S. Kolasa2.25A. Grela1.57—Sep 23 · 07:45S. Kolasa2.20M. Jadczyk1.61—Sep 23 · 09:20S. Kolasa2.10J. Kosowski1.67—Sep 23 · 10:50S. Kolasa2.00J. Zandecki1.73—Sep 23 · 12:05S. Kolasa1.67K. Strowski2.10—Sep 23 · 13:20S. Kolasa1.73K. Kolodziej2.00—Sep 23 · 14:35S. Kolasa2.25A. Grela1.57—
J. Zandecki
Sep 23 · 06:05J. Zandecki2.00M. Jadczyk1.73—Sep 23 · 07:20J. Zandecki1.50J. Kuzmicz2.50—Sep 23 · 08:30J. Zandecki2.00J. Kosowski1.73—Sep 23 · 09:40J. Zandecki1.40K. Strowski2.75—Sep 23 · 10:50J. Zandecki1.73S. Kolasa2.00—Sep 23 · 11:40J. Zandecki2.00A. Grela1.73—Sep 23 · 12:30J. Zandecki2.00J. Kosowski1.73—Sep 23 · 14:10J. Zandecki1.53K. Kolodziej2.38—
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