TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Caban vs Kamil Kos 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Jakub Caban
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611211114511––
Kamil Kos
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:26 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeKamil Kos to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
61 points played in total.
Set by set
611211114511––
H2H Jakub Caban 4–4 Kamil Kos Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:26What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Kos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Caban 1479 vs Kos 1430
Caban
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Caban 80% vs Kos 40%
Caban
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Caban 70% vs Kos 50%
Caban
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Caban -1 · Kos -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kos) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCaban 2.10 / Kos 1.60
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Caban)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13172757
Caban2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 12 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Kos1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite49% won 50 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it87% 32 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it65% 44 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeCaban4wins
AwayKos4wins
4 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCaban50%2 of 4
AwayKos50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Caban4Kos4n = 8split evenly
S2Caban5Kos3n = 8Caban took 5 of 8
S3Caban2Kos6n = 8Kos took 6 of 8
S4Caban2Kos5n = 7Kos took 5 of 7
S5Caban3Kos1n = 4Caban took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricCabanKosC − KBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match39.540.9−1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabanKosBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 403 vs 151 / 30155.6%50.2%224 / 403 vs 151 / 301Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.540.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosCaban 2.10/Kos 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 14 · 17:00J. Caban47111186113K. Kos4797111192
WSep 8 · 17:00J. Caban48711811113K. Kos4511911772
WJun 1 · 16:30J. Caban4181111113K. Kos28112871
LJun 30 · 21:40J. Caban30921271K. Kos43111110113
LJun 30 · 21:00J. Caban34119591K. Kos3631111113
LMay 2 · 14:00J. Caban42111110912K. Kos43721211113
WApr 17 · 19:35J. Caban48111166143K. Kos49871111122
LMar 23 · 17:35J. Caban2661280K. Kos361114113
J. Caban10
LSep 21 · 19:00L. Buklat1.54111568113J. Caban2.25613111122WSep 21 · 17:00D. Kovtanyuk2.1047131372J. Caban1.6511111111113WSep 21 · 16:00M. Michta1.6041480J. Caban2.101116113WSep 21 · 15:30J. Caban2.0514124113K. Patryk1.6812101161WSep 14 · 20:00W. Arkadiusz2.0012661192J. Caban1.721011119113LSep 14 · 18:30J. Caban1.9061111101W. Arkadiusz1.8011913123WSep 14 · 17:30K. Patryk1.6311811282J. Caban2.10711611113WSep 14 · 17:00J. Caban2.35111186113K. Kos1.5397111192WSep 14 · 16:00J. Caban2.05811128113L. Buklat1.70119101162LSep 8 · 22:00P. Kedzierski2.651114113J. Caban1.4251280
K. Kos10
LSep 21 · 19:30K. Kos2.051431171K. Patryk1.6616118113LSep 21 · 17:30M. Michta1.7412611113K. Kos1.951011841WSep 21 · 15:00D. Kovtanyuk2.2041160K. Kos1.581113113LSep 21 · 14:30L. Buklat1.85118611113K. Kos1.8561111682WSep 15 · 22:40P. Kedzierski2.4961181192K. Kos1.45119117113WSep 15 · 20:00K. Patryk1.7612118772K. Kos1.951061111113LSep 15 · 19:00K. Kos1.361012111172P. Kedzierski2.801210137113LSep 15 · 18:00K. Kos1.449816151J. Komorowicz2.50111114173WSep 15 · 16:30K. Kos2.0081111113W. Arkadiusz1.71114881LSep 14 · 17:00J. Caban2.35111186113K. Kos1.5397111192
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