TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Lukasz Buklat
Home
1.54
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161513611811112
Jakub Caban
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:20 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timeLukasz Buklat to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
1161513611811112
H2H Lukasz Buklat 32–23 Jakub Caban Jakub Caban has won 23 of their 55 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:20What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Buklat
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-23 in 55
Buklat
Correct
gap of 9 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buklat 1509 vs Caban 1489
Buklat
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buklat 80% vs Caban 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buklat 70% vs Caban 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Buklat +4 · Caban +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Buklat) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Caban form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuklat 1.54 / Caban 2.25
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Buklat)-2.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13171996
Buklat1.54
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 65 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it100% 33 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it78% 47 of 60
Caban2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 12 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuklat5wins
AwayCaban5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuklat66.7%4 of 6
AwayCaban75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buklat6Caban4n = 10Buklat took 6 of 10
S2Buklat5Caban5n = 10split evenly
S3Buklat4Caban6n = 10Caban took 6 of 10
S4Buklat3Caban3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuklatCabanB − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.636.3−0.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuklatCabanBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 445 vs 224 / 40257.1%55.7%254 / 445 vs 224 / 402Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.140.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuklatBuklat 1.54/Caban 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.4%
Buklat · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Buklat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 16:00L. Buklat47119101162J. Caban50811128113
WJul 13 · 16:30L. Buklat4211911113J. Caban32911481
WJul 6 · 17:00L. Buklat331111113J. Caban216690
WJun 24 · 16:00L. Buklat361111143J. Caban2493120
WMay 16 · 11:05L. Buklat4011117113J. Caban35871191
LApr 8 · 22:50L. Buklat164750J. Caban331111113
WApr 8 · 19:00L. Buklat45612115113J. Caban46111091152
LJan 19 · 18:30L. Buklat391186141J. Caban4681111163
LJan 2 · 12:30L. Buklat35712971J. Caban43111011113
LDec 27 · 13:30L. Buklat239950J. Caban331111113
L. Buklat10
WSep 21 · 20:00D. Kovtanyuk2.25511110L. Buklat1.541113133WSep 21 · 18:00L. Buklat1.8671112143K. Patryk1.8011410121WSep 21 · 16:30L. Buklat1.831211113M. Michta1.8610650WSep 21 · 14:30L. Buklat1.85118611113K. Kos1.8561111682WSep 14 · 19:30L. Buklat—1111113K. Kos—8380LSep 14 · 19:00L. Buklat1.667520K. Kos2.051111113WSep 14 · 16:30K. Patryk1.68691171L. Buklat2.0511117113LSep 14 · 16:00J. Caban2.05811128113L. Buklat1.70119101162WSep 14 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8681111113W. Arkadiusz1.83116851WSep 7 · 21:30L. Buklat1.711111113W. Dariusz2.008650
J. Caban10
WSep 21 · 17:00D. Kovtanyuk2.1047131372J. Caban1.6511111111113WSep 21 · 16:00M. Michta1.6041480J. Caban2.101116113WSep 21 · 15:30J. Caban2.0514124113K. Patryk1.6812101161WSep 14 · 20:00W. Arkadiusz2.0012661192J. Caban1.721011119113LSep 14 · 18:30J. Caban1.9061111101W. Arkadiusz1.8011913123WSep 14 · 17:30K. Patryk1.6311811282J. Caban2.10711611113WSep 14 · 17:00J. Caban2.35111186113K. Kos1.5397111192WSep 14 · 16:00J. Caban2.05811128113L. Buklat1.70119101162LSep 8 · 22:00P. Kedzierski2.651114113J. Caban1.4251280LSep 8 · 21:00J. Caban1.957370K. Patryk1.701111113
Upcoming Matches
L. Buklat
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J. Caban
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