TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jacek Mitas vs Kamil Rudomina 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Jacek Mitas
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181141311––––
Kamil Rudomina
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:30 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeKamil Rudomina to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJacek Mitas above · Kamil Rudomina below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 58 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Kamil Rudomina at 57.1%
58 points played in total.
H2H Jacek Mitas 1–1 Kamil Rudomina Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Mitas beat Rudomina 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:30What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Mitas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mitas 1675 vs Rudomina 1486
Mitas
Correct
both rated, 190 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mitas 80% vs Rudomina 20%
Mitas
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mitas 80% vs Rudomina 30%
Mitas
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mitas +2 · Rudomina +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Mitas) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMitas 1.22 / Rudomina 4.00
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Mitas)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13170778
Mitas1.22
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite62% won 58 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it85% 44 of 52
Rudomina4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 190 of 522
Down 0–1, comes back22% 66 of 299
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMitas1wins
AwayRudomina1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMitasRudominaM − RBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match38.533.0+5.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMitasRudominaBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 258 vs 965 / 207547.3%46.5%122 / 258 vs 965 / 2075Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MitasMitas 1.22/Rudomina 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Mitas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mitas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 22 · 19:15J. Mitas331111113K. Rudomina165650
LAug 29 · 24:20J. Mitas4481461152K. Rudomina501112115113
J. Mitas10
WSep 22 · 23:20J. Mitas1.80131211113L. Pietraszko1.911510681WSep 22 · 21:50J. Mitas1.9111913123K. Staszczyk1.8051111101LSep 22 · 21:25J. Mitas1.831181011102J. Chmielowski1.83711125123WSep 22 · 20:30L. Pietraszko1.91871161J. Mitas1.8011117113WSep 22 · 19:15J. Mitas1.531111113K. Rudomina2.385650WSep 22 · 18:05P. Blocho2.759860J. Mitas1.401111113LSep 22 · 16:55J. Chmielowski1.8371111113J. Mitas1.83116771WSep 22 · 15:25M. Minda2.507630J. Mitas1.501111113WSep 22 · 24:10J. Mitas1.7311711133M. Kolek2.007118111WSep 21 · 23:20J. Mitas1.361111123K. Kostyk3.0097100
K. Rudomina10
WSep 22 · 23:45K. Rudomina2.501311113K. Staszczyk1.5011970LSep 22 · 22:55K. Rudomina2.63711131172J. Chmielowski1.44118157113LSep 22 · 21:00K. Rudomina2.1011111071L. Pietraszko1.6713412113LSep 22 · 20:05J. Chmielowski1.441111153K. Rudomina2.6355130LSep 22 · 19:15J. Mitas1.531111113K. Rudomina2.385650WSep 22 · 17:20M. Minda1.918940K. Rudomina1.801111113LSep 22 · 16:30P. Blocho1.67611111113K. Rudomina2.1011781162LSep 22 · 15:00L. Pietraszko1.57116118113K. Rudomina2.2521191132LSep 21 · 24:10K. Rudomina2.00591171B. Sulkowski1.7311118113WSep 20 · 23:20K. Rudomina2.2011711123L. Pietraszko1.616113101
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