TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jacek Mitas vs Konrad Staszczyk 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Jacek Mitas
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11591113111210––
Konrad Staszczyk
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:31 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJacek Mitas above · Konrad Staszczyk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 82 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 70.3%
82 points played in total.
H2H Jacek Mitas 3–4 Konrad Staszczyk Jacek Mitas has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:31What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Staszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mitas 1665 vs Staszczyk 1602
Mitas
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mitas 60% vs Staszczyk 20%
Mitas
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mitas 80% vs Staszczyk 50%
Mitas
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mitas -1 · Staszczyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mitas) · live re-read · sealed at 30% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staszczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMitas 1.91 / Staszczyk 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mitas)+5.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13170784
Mitas1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As underdog35% won 46 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46
Staszczyk1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 172 of 266
Up 2–0, closes it90% 70 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it83% 121 of 146
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMitas3wins
AwayStaszczyk4wins
1 of 7 to a deciderStaszczyk leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMitas50%3 of 6
AwayStaszczykn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mitas6Staszczyk1n = 7Mitas took 6 of 7
S2Mitas3Staszczyk4n = 7Staszczyk took 4 of 7
S3Mitas3Staszczyk4n = 7Staszczyk took 4 of 7
S4Mitas1Staszczyk3n = 4Staszczyk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricMitasStaszczykM − SBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match34.934.90.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMitasStaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 257 vs 211 / 37047.1%57%121 / 257 vs 211 / 370Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MitasMitas 1.91/Staszczyk 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mitas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mitas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 22 · 21:50J. Mitas4511913123K. Staszczyk3751111101
WSep 21 · 21:50J. Mitas341112113K. Staszczyk2381050
LSep 12 · 24:45J. Mitas29116661K. Staszczyk3631111113
LSep 10 · 20:05J. Mitas52111116862K. Staszczyk51561811113
LJun 7 · 24:45J. Mitas2265110K. Staszczyk351111133
WJun 6 · 22:20J. Mitas331111113K. Staszczyk208750
LJun 6 · 20:15J. Mitas29116661K. Staszczyk4291111113
J. Mitas10
LSep 22 · 21:25J. Mitas1.831181011102J. Chmielowski1.83711125123WSep 22 · 20:30L. Pietraszko1.91871161J. Mitas1.8011117113WSep 22 · 19:15J. Mitas1.531111113K. Rudomina2.385650WSep 22 · 18:05P. Blocho2.759860J. Mitas1.401111113LSep 22 · 16:55J. Chmielowski1.8371111113J. Mitas1.83116771WSep 22 · 15:25M. Minda2.507630J. Mitas1.501111113WSep 22 · 24:10J. Mitas1.7311711133M. Kolek2.007118111WSep 21 · 23:20J. Mitas1.361111123K. Kostyk3.0097100WSep 21 · 21:50J. Mitas2.001112113K. Staszczyk1.7381050WSep 21 · 21:25J. Mitas2.0011113113J. Chmielowski1.73861191
K. Staszczyk10
LSep 22 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.5312870L. Pietraszko2.381411113LSep 22 · 24:35K. Staszczyk2.00111181172J. Chmielowski1.73781113113LSep 21 · 23:45M. Kolek2.0011811113K. Staszczyk1.73411771WSep 21 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.5712911123K. Kostyk2.2510118101LSep 21 · 21:50J. Mitas2.001112113K. Staszczyk1.7381050LSep 19 · 24:20B. Sulkowski3.75116711113K. Staszczyk1.2581111552WSep 18 · 23:35M. Woskowicz4.00691181K. Staszczyk1.2211114113WSep 18 · 23:15K. Staszczyk1.2011118113M. Lukaszewski4.33461161LSep 18 · 22:05P. Blocho2.25811812113K. Staszczyk1.57117111002WSep 18 · 21:45K. Staszczyk1.22611611153B. Sulkowski4.00118116132
Upcoming Matches
J. Mitas
K. Staszczyk
Sep 22 · 23:45K. Staszczyk1.50K. Rudomina2.50—Sep 23 · 24:35K. Staszczyk1.80J. Chmielowski1.91—Sep 23 · 15:25K. Staszczyk—A. Daniel——Sep 23 · 16:55K. Staszczyk—M. Minda——Sep 23 · 18:05K. Staszczyk—K. Klocek——Sep 23 · 19:15K. Staszczyk—B. Sulkowski——Sep 23 · 20:30K. Staszczyk—D. Solilo——Sep 23 · 21:00K. Staszczyk—K. Rudomina——Sep 23 · 22:10K. Staszczyk—K. Klocek——Sep 23 · 22:35K. Staszczyk—K. Kapik——
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