TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kamil Rudomina vs Lukasz Pietraszko 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Kamil Rudomina
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11131141012711––
Lukasz Pietraszko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:03 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeLukasz Pietraszko to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Rudomina above · Lukasz Pietraszko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 79 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Lukasz Pietraszko at 62.9%
79 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Rudomina 11–22 Lukasz Pietraszko Kamil Rudomina has won 11 of their 33 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Pietraszko beat Rudomina 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pietraszko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-22 in 33
Pietraszko
Correct
gap of 11 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rudomina 1479 vs Pietraszko 1619
Pietraszko
Correct
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rudomina 20% vs Pietraszko 60%
Pietraszko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rudomina 30% vs Pietraszko 60%
Pietraszko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rudomina -2 · Pietraszko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Pietraszko) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rudomina form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRudomina 2.10 / Pietraszko 1.67
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Pietraszko)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13176934
Rudomina2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 190 of 522
Down 0–1, comes back22% 66 of 299
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 145
Pietraszko1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 125 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it82% 88 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRudomina2wins
AwayPietraszko8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPietraszko leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRudominan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPietraszko88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rudomina1Pietraszko9n = 10Pietraszko took 9 of 10
S2Rudomina4Pietraszko6n = 10Pietraszko took 6 of 10
S3Rudomina4Pietraszko6n = 10Pietraszko took 6 of 10
S4Rudomina5Pietraszko2n = 7Rudomina took 5 of 7
S5Rudomina1Pietraszko4n = 5Pietraszko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRudominaPietraszkoR − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match37.239.9−2.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRudominaPietraszkoBasisWin rate · lifetime964 / 2072 vs 439 / 86946.5%50.5%964 / 2072 vs 439 / 869Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PietraszkoRudomina 2.10/Pietraszko 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.8%
Pietraszko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pietraszko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 23:20K. Rudomina4111711123L. Pietraszko306113101
LSep 20 · 20:30K. Rudomina28108100L. Pietraszko351211123
LJun 8 · 23:20K. Rudomina4151161182L. Pietraszko45118114113
LJun 8 · 21:00K. Rudomina2110560L. Pietraszko341211113
LJun 4 · 16:15K. Rudomina139310L. Pietraszko331111113
LJun 1 · 19:20K. Rudomina5379111792L. Pietraszko521111415113
LMay 24 · 18:15K. Rudomina45611117102L. Pietraszko47115811123
LApr 13 · 15:25K. Rudomina45411101192L. Pietraszko47118125113
LApr 6 · 12:15K. Rudomina341111571L. Pietraszko3613111113
WMar 30 · 12:15K. Rudomina51991111113L. Pietraszko4011117562
K. Rudomina10
LSep 22 · 20:05J. Chmielowski1.441111153K. Rudomina2.6355130LSep 22 · 19:15J. Mitas1.531111113K. Rudomina2.385650WSep 22 · 17:20M. Minda1.918940K. Rudomina1.801111113LSep 22 · 16:30P. Blocho1.67611111113K. Rudomina2.1011781162LSep 22 · 15:00L. Pietraszko1.57116118113K. Rudomina2.2521191132LSep 21 · 24:10K. Rudomina2.00591171B. Sulkowski1.7311118113WSep 20 · 23:20K. Rudomina2.2011711123L. Pietraszko1.616113101WSep 20 · 21:50K. Rudomina1.831111113P. Blocho1.839990LSep 20 · 21:25K. Rudomina2.5061141192M. Kolek1.50116116113LSep 20 · 20:30L. Pietraszko1.801211123K. Rudomina1.91108100
L. Pietraszko10
LSep 22 · 20:30L. Pietraszko1.91871161J. Mitas1.8011117113WSep 22 · 18:50L. Pietraszko1.57111199143P. Blocho2.25551111122LSep 22 · 17:40L. Pietraszko2.00114731J. Chmielowski1.7391111113WSep 22 · 16:05L. Pietraszko1.731112911113M. Minda2.00131011542WSep 22 · 15:00L. Pietraszko1.57116118113K. Rudomina2.2521191132LSep 20 · 23:20K. Rudomina2.2011711123L. Pietraszko1.616113101WSep 20 · 22:35P. Blocho2.107980L. Pietraszko1.671111113LSep 20 · 22:10L. Pietraszko1.80135561M. Kolek1.91111111113WSep 20 · 21:00B. Sulkowski2.25741181L. Pietraszko1.5711116113WSep 20 · 20:30L. Pietraszko1.801211123K. Rudomina1.91108100
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