TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Lukasz Pietraszko vs Michal Minda 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Lukasz Pietraszko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11131210911115114
Michal Minda
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:07 and never touched — 66.4% is still 66.4%
Graded at full timeLukasz Pietraszko to win
66.4%
66.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukasz Pietraszko above · Michal Minda below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 97 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Lukasz Pietraszko at 66.4%
97 points played in total.
H2H Lukasz Pietraszko 29–22 Michal Minda Michal Minda has won 22 of their 51 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:07What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pietraszko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-22 in 51
Pietraszko
Correct
gap of 7 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pietraszko 1636 vs Minda 1433
Pietraszko
Correct
both rated, 203 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pietraszko 60% vs Minda 20%
Pietraszko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pietraszko 60% vs Minda 20%
Pietraszko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pietraszko +1 · Minda -3
Minda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Pietraszko) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Minda form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPietraszko 1.73 / Minda 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Pietraszko)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13170365
Pietraszko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 125 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it82% 88 of 107
Minda2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 134 of 336
Down 0–1, comes back25% 51 of 203
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePietraszko5wins
AwayMinda5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePietraszko66.7%4 of 6
AwayMinda75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pietraszko6Minda4n = 10Pietraszko took 6 of 10
S2Pietraszko6Minda4n = 10Pietraszko took 6 of 10
S3Pietraszko7Minda3n = 10Pietraszko took 7 of 10
S4Pietraszko4Minda4n = 8split evenly
S5Pietraszko0Minda3n = 3Minda took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPietraszkoMindaP − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.338.4+1.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPietraszkoMindaBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 865 vs 1014 / 198050.5%51.2%437 / 865 vs 1014 / 1980Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PietraszkoPietraszko 1.73/Minda 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.3%
Pietraszko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pietraszko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 03:40L. Pietraszko44111111113M. Minda39139891
LMay 18 · 09:00L. Pietraszko356711111M. Minda4311118133
LMay 4 · 03:25L. Pietraszko4311512692M. Minda496111011113
WApr 20 · 13:30L. Pietraszko331111113M. Minda237790
WApr 13 · 06:30L. Pietraszko4211119113M. Minda27941131
WMar 30 · 13:30L. Pietraszko4211812113M. Minda367111081
LMar 23 · 12:00L. Pietraszko42114611102M. Minda45511116123
WMar 2 · 12:50L. Pietraszko341111123M. Minda2679100
LFeb 23 · 10:25L. Pietraszko418149101M. Minda46111211123
LFeb 23 · 07:55L. Pietraszko4781111892M. Minda50119811113
L. Pietraszko10
WSep 22 · 15:00L. Pietraszko1.57116118113K. Rudomina2.2521191132LSep 20 · 23:20K. Rudomina2.2011711123L. Pietraszko1.616113101WSep 20 · 22:35P. Blocho2.107980L. Pietraszko1.671111113LSep 20 · 22:10L. Pietraszko1.80135561M. Kolek1.91111111113WSep 20 · 21:00B. Sulkowski2.25741181L. Pietraszko1.5711116113WSep 20 · 20:30L. Pietraszko1.801211123K. Rudomina1.91108100WSep 20 · 18:50L. Pietraszko1.671111710123P. Blocho2.10891112102WSep 20 · 17:40L. Pietraszko1.8011118113M. Kolek1.91981181LSep 20 · 16:05L. Pietraszko1.8064130A. Wos1.911111153LSep 20 · 15:00L. Pietraszko1.675101151B. Sulkowski2.1011127113
M. Minda10
LSep 22 · 17:20M. Minda1.918940K. Rudomina1.801111113LSep 22 · 15:25M. Minda2.507630J. Mitas1.501111113LSep 21 · 20:05J. Chmielowski1.4411117123M. Minda2.635811101LSep 21 · 19:15J. Mitas1.501111113M. Minda2.504850WSep 21 · 17:20M. Kolek1.805690M. Minda1.911111113LSep 21 · 16:30P. Blocho1.6712116113M. Minda2.101041171WSep 21 · 15:00K. Kostyk1.8071111842M. Minda1.91117811113LSep 20 · 14:10G. Kesik1.83117811113M. Minda1.8351111292LSep 20 · 13:20R. Stapor1.83151111113M. Minda1.83178841LSep 20 · 11:15M. Woskowicz2.208101111113M. Minda1.6111128912
Upcoming Matches
L. Pietraszko
Sep 22 · 17:40L. Pietraszko2.00J. Chmielowski1.73—Sep 22 · 18:50L. Pietraszko1.57P. Blocho2.25—Sep 22 · 20:30L. Pietraszko2.00J. Mitas1.73—Sep 22 · 21:00L. Pietraszko1.67K. Rudomina2.10—Sep 22 · 22:10L. Pietraszko2.00J. Chmielowski1.73—Sep 22 · 22:35L. Pietraszko2.38K. Staszczyk1.53—Sep 22 · 23:20L. Pietraszko2.00J. Mitas1.73—
M. Minda
Sep 22 · 18:30M. Minda2.25J. Chmielowski1.57—Sep 22 · 19:40M. Minda1.83P. Blocho1.83—Sep 23 · 09:00M. Minda—A. Szoltysek——Sep 23 · 10:35M. Minda—M. Zwolinski——Sep 23 · 11:25M. Minda—W. Iwasyszyn——Sep 23 · 13:30M. Minda—R. Stapor——Sep 23 · 14:20M. Minda—J. Zochniak——Sep 23 · 15:45M. Minda—K. Klocek——Sep 23 · 16:55M. Minda—K. Staszczyk——Sep 23 · 17:40M. Minda—D. Solilo——
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