TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kamil Delikatny vs Mateusz Karpiuk 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Kamil Delikatny
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111113811––––
Mateusz Karpiuk
Away
1.71
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:30 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeMateusz Karpiuk to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
63 points played in total.
Set by set
9111113811––––
H2H Kamil Delikatny 3–2 Mateusz Karpiuk Mateusz Karpiuk has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Delikatny beat Karpiuk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:30What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Karpiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Delikatny 1332 vs Karpiuk 1419
Karpiuk
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Delikatny 60% vs Karpiuk 80%
Karpiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Delikatny 50% vs Karpiuk 80%
Karpiuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Delikatny +1 · Karpiuk +4
Karpiuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Karpiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Karpiuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDelikatny 2.00 / Karpiuk 1.71
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Karpiuk)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13170776
Delikatny2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 45 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Karpiuk1.71
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 57 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it69% 37 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeDelikatny3wins
AwayKarpiuk2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderDelikatny leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDelikatnyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKarpiuk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Delikatny2Karpiuk3n = 5Karpiuk took 3 of 5
S2Delikatny3Karpiuk2n = 5Delikatny took 3 of 5
S3Delikatny4Karpiuk1n = 5Delikatny took 4 of 5
S4Delikatny2Karpiuk2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricDelikatnyKarpiukD − KBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match40.237.2+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDelikatnyKarpiukBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 470 vs 141 / 31049.2%45.5%231 / 470 vs 141 / 310Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KarpiukDelikatny 2.00/Karpiuk 1.71
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Karpiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Karpiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 22 · 19:30K. Delikatny331111113M. Karpiuk155370
WAug 14 · 01:30K. Delikatny52912128113M. Karpiuk491110101172
WAug 13 · 19:30K. Delikatny4211911113M. Karpiuk30611671
LAug 12 · 23:30K. Delikatny331151161M. Karpiuk4413119113
LAug 12 · 19:10K. Delikatny4141151292M. Karpiuk481151110113
K. Delikatny10
WSep 23 · 02:20J. Michalik1.918550K. Delikatny1.781111113WSep 23 · 24:20K. Delikatny1.60112147113M. Brunner2.20611121162LSep 22 · 22:40K. Delikatny1.9110111041M. Baran1.7112912113WSep 22 · 21:05K. Kwiatkowski1.55111556102K. Delikatny2.306131111123LSep 22 · 20:20M. Brunner2.381111113K. Delikatny1.535750WSep 22 · 19:30K. Delikatny1.831111113M. Karpiuk1.835370LSep 22 · 18:20K. Delikatny1.832860P. Gesiarz1.721111113LSep 10 · 01:45K. Delikatny1.9111118572M. Lewczuk1.80961111113WSep 10 · 24:35K. Delikatny2.201111113M. Baran1.618730LSep 9 · 23:20K. Delikatny2.2011761192A. Zmijewski1.61811117113
M. Karpiuk10
WSep 22 · 23:55K. Kwiatkowski1.49310130M. Karpiuk2.501112153WSep 22 · 23:05M. Brunner2.05711491M. Karpiuk1.6511411113WSep 22 · 21:55M. Karpiuk2.001112117113M. Baran1.71131091142WSep 22 · 20:45P. Gesiarz1.831388111M. Karpiuk1.83111111133LSep 22 · 19:30K. Delikatny1.831111113M. Karpiuk1.835370WSep 22 · 17:55K. Kwiatkowski1.43951151M. Karpiuk2.4311118113WSep 22 · 01:50M. Baran1.83115591M. Karpiuk1.8371111113WSep 22 · 24:50M. Karpiuk3.0011712113J. Zelezik1.369111091LSep 21 · 23:50M. Lewczuk1.4431112113M. Karpiuk2.631161041WSep 21 · 22:50A. Zmijewski1.2548111182M. Karpiuk3.75111186113
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