TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kacper Kwiatkowski vs Kamil Delikatny 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Kacper Kwiatkowski
Home
1.65
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141210119––––
Kamil Delikatny
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:29 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeKamil Delikatny to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
1141210119––––
H2H Kacper Kwiatkowski 1–4 Kamil Delikatny Kacper Kwiatkowski has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Delikatny beat Kwiatkowski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:29What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Kwiatkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Delikatny
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kwiatkowski 1376 vs Delikatny 1338
Kwiatkowski
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kwiatkowski 20% vs Delikatny 60%
Delikatny
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kwiatkowski 40% vs Delikatny 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kwiatkowski -3 · Delikatny +1
Kwiatkowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kwiatkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Delikatny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKwiatkowski 1.65 / Delikatny 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kwiatkowski)-1.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13170773
Kwiatkowski1.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 40 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it76% 32 of 42
Delikatny2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 45 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKwiatkowski1wins
AwayDelikatny4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderDelikatny leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKwiatkowski25%1 of 4
AwayDelikatnyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kwiatkowski4Delikatny1n = 5Kwiatkowski took 4 of 5
S2Kwiatkowski2Delikatny3n = 5Delikatny took 3 of 5
S3Kwiatkowski3Delikatny2n = 5Kwiatkowski took 3 of 5
S4Kwiatkowski0Delikatny4n = 4Delikatny took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKwiatkowskiDelikatnyK − DBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match37.241.2−4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKwiatkowskiDelikatnyBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 280 vs 232 / 47243.2%49.2%121 / 280 vs 232 / 472Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.134.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KwiatkowskiKwiatkowski 1.65/Delikatny 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.8%
Kwiatkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kwiatkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 22 · 21:05K. Kwiatkowski47111556102K. Delikatny536131111123
LAug 13 · 04:35K. Kwiatkowski3511611522K. Delikatny49711911113
LAug 12 · 20:45K. Kwiatkowski3811610111K. Delikatny4481112133
LJul 30 · 01:45K. Kwiatkowski33971161K. Delikatny4011117113
WJul 29 · 16:15K. Kwiatkowski331111113K. Delikatny207670
K. Kwiatkowski10
LSep 23 · 01:55K. Kwiatkowski1.6471060M. Baran2.141112113LSep 23 · 24:45J. Michalik2.07111011113K. Kwiatkowski1.68912791LSep 22 · 23:55K. Kwiatkowski1.49310130M. Karpiuk2.501112153WSep 22 · 22:20K. Kwiatkowski1.6651111123P. Gesiarz2.101198101LSep 22 · 21:05K. Kwiatkowski1.55111556102K. Delikatny2.306131111123LSep 22 · 19:55K. Kwiatkowski1.5071111742M. Baran2.40119211113WSep 22 · 18:45M. Brunner2.65710121192K. Kwiatkowski1.321112101113LSep 22 · 17:55K. Kwiatkowski1.43951151M. Karpiuk2.4311118113WSep 22 · 01:10K. Kwiatkowski1.671112113M. Lewczuk2.1051040WSep 22 · 24:10K. Kwiatkowski2.381161112133A. Zmijewski1.53811714112
K. Delikatny10
WSep 23 · 02:20J. Michalik1.918550K. Delikatny1.781111113LSep 23 · 01:30K. Delikatny2.0091180M. Karpiuk1.711113113WSep 23 · 24:20K. Delikatny1.60112147113M. Brunner2.20611121162LSep 22 · 22:40K. Delikatny1.9110111041M. Baran1.7112912113WSep 22 · 21:05K. Kwiatkowski1.55111556102K. Delikatny2.306131111123LSep 22 · 20:20M. Brunner2.381111113K. Delikatny1.535750WSep 22 · 19:30K. Delikatny1.831111113M. Karpiuk1.835370LSep 22 · 18:20K. Delikatny1.832860P. Gesiarz1.721111113LSep 10 · 01:45K. Delikatny1.9111118572M. Lewczuk1.80961111113WSep 10 · 24:35K. Delikatny2.201111113M. Baran1.618730
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