TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Kostiantyn Hrynenko vs Yaroslav Stepanchuk 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Home
1.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210119118––––
Yaroslav Stepanchuk
Away
6.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:34 and never touched — 87.9% is still 87.9%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Hrynenko to win
87.9%
87.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKostiantyn Hrynenko above · Yaroslav Stepanchuk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 61 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Kostiantyn Hrynenko at 87.9%
61 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Hrynenko 5–0 Yaroslav Stepanchuk Yaroslav Stepanchuk has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:34What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Hrynenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Hrynenko
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrynenko 1627 vs Stepanchuk 1532
Hrynenko
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrynenko 80% vs Stepanchuk 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrynenko 70% vs Stepanchuk 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrynenko +4 · Stepanchuk -1
Hrynenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Hrynenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stepanchuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (15%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrynenko 1.10 / Stepanchuk 6.50
Signal prob.88% / 12%
Edge (Hrynenko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13168986
Hrynenko1.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 59 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it86% 47 of 55
Stepanchuk6.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 37 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back16% 9 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeHrynenko5wins
AwayStepanchuk0wins
Hrynenko leads 5–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrynenko100%5 of 5
AwayStepanchukn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrynenko5Stepanchuk0n = 5Hrynenko took 5 of 5
S2Hrynenko5Stepanchuk0n = 5Hrynenko took 5 of 5
S3Hrynenko4Stepanchuk1n = 5Hrynenko took 4 of 5
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home480%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricHrynenkoStepanchukH − SBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match33.820.8+13.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrynenkoStepanchukBasisWin rate · lifetime426 / 910 vs 298 / 61746.8%48.3%426 / 910 vs 298 / 617Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrynenkoHrynenko 1.10/Stepanchuk 6.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.9%
Hrynenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hrynenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 2 · 24:35K. Hrynenko331111113Y. Stepanchuk153660
WAug 12 · 24:35K. Hrynenko351111133Y. Stepanchuk2889110
WJul 29 · 13:25K. Hrynenko331111113Y. Stepanchuk167270
WJul 25 · 02:25K. Hrynenko341211113Y. Stepanchuk2410680
K. Hrynenko10
WSep 22 · 01:35H. Kulishov2.107990K. Hrynenko1.671111113WSep 22 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.4411711123D. Kim2.638118101WSep 21 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov3.401112391K. Hrynenko1.3081411113WSep 21 · 22:05K. Hrynenko1.531111113S. Khandetskyi2.387640LSep 20 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.617370M. Marchuk2.201111113LSep 20 · 01:35V. Lobas1.441114113K. Hrynenko2.6391280LSep 20 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.6110360O. Melashenko2.201211113WSep 19 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.6189110K. Hrynenko2.201111133WSep 19 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.1011117123Y. Krol1.676611101WSep 19 · 03:05Y. Krol1.676280K. Hrynenko2.101111113
Y. Stepanchuk10
LSep 22 · 02:35D. Kim1.8012119113Y. Stepanchuk1.911071191WSep 22 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.918630Y. Stepanchuk1.801111113WSep 21 · 23:05S. Khandetskyi2.007860Y. Stepanchuk1.731111113WSep 21 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.739280Y. Stepanchuk2.001111113WSep 18 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.83611421Y. Stepanchuk1.8311611113WSep 18 · 02:05Y. Stepanchuk1.91111111113D. Kim1.80713491WSep 18 · 01:05Y. Stepanchuk1.731111113M. Fomin2.007450LSep 17 · 23:35Y. Stepanchuk2.006440H. Kulishov1.731111113LSep 17 · 21:35Y. Stepanchuk1.83118118132A. Peretiatko1.83711411153WSep 16 · 17:25Y. Stepanchuk1.5711811113A. Lifanov2.25411631
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.