TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Orest Hura
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181517117116––
Nazar Kovalchuk
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingOrest Hura above · Nazar Kovalchuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 15-17
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 86 set 4, 11-6
86 points played in total.
H2H Orest Hura 12–16 Nazar Kovalchuk Orest Hura has won 12 of their 28 meetings.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kovalchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalchuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHura 2.25 / Kovalchuk 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Kovalchuk)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13168914
Hura2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 37 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back23% 12 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Kovalchuk1.57
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 162 of 279
Up 2–0, closes it94% 60 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it74% 108 of 147
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHura2wins
AwayKovalchuk8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKovalchuk leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHura66.7%2 of 3
AwayKovalchuk100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hura3Kovalchuk7n = 10Kovalchuk took 7 of 10
S2Hura6Kovalchuk4n = 10Hura took 6 of 10
S3Hura2Kovalchuk8n = 10Kovalchuk took 8 of 10
S4Hura3Kovalchuk3n = 6split evenly
S5Hura0Kovalchuk3n = 3Kovalchuk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHuraKovalchukH − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.539.3−4.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHuraKovalchukBasisWin rate · lifetime406 / 780 vs 393 / 75552.1%52.1%406 / 780 vs 393 / 755Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalchukHura 2.25/Kovalchuk 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Kovalchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hura won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 05:55O. Hura227870N. Kovalchuk331111113
LSep 16 · 23:45O. Hura45114111182N. Kovalchuk51711913113
LSep 8 · 09:55O. Hura4851771182N. Kovalchuk521115114113
LAug 25 · 23:15O. Hura238960N. Kovalchuk331111113
WAug 6 · 20:15O. Hura4311129113N. Kovalchuk315101151
LAug 1 · 15:35O. Hura47101171182N. Kovalchuk50127119113
LJul 31 · 22:30O. Hura3710143101N. Kovalchuk47121211123
LJul 26 · 08:05O. Hura217950N. Kovalchuk331111113
LJul 25 · 13:05O. Hura26611541N. Kovalchuk4011711113
WJul 25 · 01:00O. Hura331111113N. Kovalchuk237790
O. Hura10
LSep 21 · 07:55V. Vlasenko2.0012925113O. Hura1.7310112381WSep 21 · 06:55O. Hura1.6791412113O. Mitla2.1011121081LSep 21 · 05:55N. Kovalchuk1.671111113O. Hura2.107870WSep 21 · 04:55O. Hura1.571111113A. Shypilov2.258370LSep 19 · 11:35O. Hura1.83661181R. Haiseniuk1.8311114103LSep 19 · 09:35I. Kozachuk1.1481111113O. Hura5.00115941LSep 19 · 07:35O. Bindas1.13781111113O. Hura5.5011112412LSep 19 · 06:35O. Hura2.63911681D. Shcherbak1.4411711113LSep 19 · 05:35S. Rak1.251111113O. Hura3.756560LSep 18 · 18:35R. Haiseniuk1.8010121210113O. Hura1.911210101292
N. Kovalchuk10
WSep 21 · 08:55V. Vlasenko2.2511911282N. Kovalchuk1.57911711113LSep 21 · 07:25N. Kovalchuk1.61411881A. Shypilov2.2011711113WSep 21 · 05:55N. Kovalchuk1.671111113O. Hura2.107870WSep 21 · 04:25N. Kovalchuk1.401111113O. Mitla2.758770WSep 20 · 10:35N. Kovalchuk1.831211113A. Kotyk1.8310870WSep 20 · 09:05N. Kovalchuk1.361151011113O. Mitla3.0031112762WSep 20 · 07:35N. Kovalchuk1.6111119113A. Shypilov2.20351141WSep 20 · 06:05N. Kovalchuk1.5771111113O. Napirko2.25111771WSep 20 · 04:35N. Kovalchuk1.61114118113R. Lazebnyi2.2071151162WSep 19 · 19:05O. Napirko2.2591191392N. Kovalchuk1.571151111113
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