TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Karol Kufel
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210117117––––
Mateusz Misiak
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:59 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeKarol Kufel to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
1210117117––––
H2H Karol Kufel 1–0 Mateusz Misiak Mateusz Misiak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kufel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kufel 1450 vs Misiak 1321
Kufel
Correct
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kufel 60% vs Misiak 40%
Kufel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kufel 50% vs Misiak 20%
Kufel
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kufel +2 · Misiak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kufel) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Misiak form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKufel 1.80 / Misiak 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kufel)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13162324
Kufel1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Misiak1.90
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 94 of 267
Down 0–1, comes back15% 22 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKufel1wins
AwayMisiak0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKufel leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKufelMisiakK − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match51.051.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKufelMisiakBasisWin rate · lifetime12 / 21 vs 1022 / 193057.1%53%12 / 21 vs 1022 / 1930Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KufelKufel 1.80/Misiak 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.2%
Kufel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kufel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 20 · 05:35K. Kufel51514119123M. Misiak511112711102
K. Kufel10
WSep 20 · 09:45K. Kufel1.7761111123M. Zagajewski1.951176101WSep 20 · 08:30K. Kufel1.801111123M. Zagajewski1.8578100LSep 20 · 06:50K. Kufel1.8061150I. Dabrowski1.911113113WSep 20 · 05:35K. Kufel1.66514119123M. Misiak2.101112711102LSep 20 · 04:00K. Kufel1.617540P. Staniszewski2.201111113LSep 20 · 03:00K. Kufel1.408580M. Lukaszewski2.751111113WSep 6 · 24:10A. Lilien1.83713291K. Kufel1.83111111113WSep 5 · 23:45K. Kufel1.601111113D. Poloszczanski2.103260LSep 5 · 22:55K. Kufel1.8511991152J. Michalczyk1.85811118113LSep 5 · 21:05K. Kufel—611921B. Sulkowski—11311113
M. Misiak10
WSep 20 · 09:20P. Maruszak1.8591161162M. Misiak1.85117116113LSep 20 · 08:05M. Misiak1.6077111172M. Lukaszewski2.10111159113LSep 20 · 06:25P. Staniszewski2.1011811113M. Misiak1.60411881LSep 20 · 05:35K. Kufel1.66514119123M. Misiak2.101112711102WSep 20 · 04:50M. Misiak1.8011116113M. Zagajewski1.90961181LSep 20 · 03:40M. Misiak1.80961161I. Dabrowski1.9011119113LSep 11 · 14:20M. Misiak2.05714841B. Czerwinski1.65111211113LSep 11 · 12:40R. Stapor1.831111173M. Misiak1.8396150LSep 11 · 11:50B. Sulkowski1.9211411113M. Misiak1.73811861LSep 11 · 11:00M. Misiak1.801166101M. Zagajewski1.8691111123
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