TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13159434
Played Sep 19Finished
Grzegorz Sawicki
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012511711––––
Jakub Michalski
Away
2.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:15 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Sawicki to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
1012511711––––
H2H Grzegorz Sawicki 37–31 Jakub Michalski Jakub Michalski has won 31 of their 68 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:15What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Sawicki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-31 in 68
Sawicki
Wrong
gap of 6 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sawicki 1309 vs Michalski 1183
Sawicki
Wrong
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sawicki 40% vs Michalski 60%
Michalski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sawicki 70% vs Michalski 50%
Sawicki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sawicki -2 · Michalski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Sawicki) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michalski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSawicki 1.50 / Michalski 2.40
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Sawicki)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13159434
Sawicki1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 46 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Michalski2.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog28% won 77 of 274
Down 0–1, comes back12% 21 of 182
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSawicki6wins
AwayMichalski4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSawicki leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSawicki100%3 of 3
AwayMichalski57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sawicki3Michalski7n = 10Michalski took 7 of 10
S2Sawicki4Michalski6n = 10Michalski took 6 of 10
S3Sawicki7Michalski3n = 10Sawicki took 7 of 10
S4Sawicki4Michalski4n = 8split evenly
S5Sawicki3Michalski0n = 3Sawicki took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSawickiMichalskiS − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.539.8−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSawickiMichalskiBasisWin rate · lifetime360 / 916 vs 408 / 105339.3%38.8%360 / 916 vs 408 / 1053Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.833.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SawickiSawicki 1.50/Michalski 2.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.3%
Sawicki · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Michalski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 01:55G. Sawicki2991190J. Michalski351113113
LAug 29 · 19:55G. Sawicki26311841J. Michalski3911611113
WJun 14 · 02:20G. Sawicki5512101111113J. Michalski4914128962
LJun 13 · 18:20G. Sawicki31591161J. Michalski4211119113
LJun 7 · 05:05G. Sawicki389611121J. Michalski4311117143
WJun 6 · 20:45G. Sawicki351113113J. Michalski2891180
WMay 17 · 01:30G. Sawicki45111211113J. Michalski37814781
WMay 16 · 19:30G. Sawicki51891112113J. Michalski46111161082
WMay 3 · 03:55G. Sawicki4111118113J. Michalski35991161
WMay 2 · 21:55G. Sawicki44811122113J. Michalski44115101172
G. Sawicki10
LSep 19 · 21:30G. Sawicki2.2511613872D. Dytko1.546111111113LSep 19 · 20:20G. Sawicki1.958970D. Fira1.741111113WSep 19 · 18:45G. Sawicki2.60119147113R. Szymik1.41911121172LSep 19 · 17:30G. Sawicki1.7599150J. Nowak1.981111173WSep 19 · 04:40G. Sawicki1.901111153O. Sokolowski1.7559130WSep 19 · 03:05D. Fira1.618790G. Sawicki1.971111113WSep 19 · 02:20A. Ruszkiewicz1.6111139952G. Sawicki1.977111111113WSep 19 · 01:30G. Sawicki1.671111113R. Adach1.898970WSep 19 · 24:20G. Sawicki2.75911138113K. Juszczyk1.31117111162WSep 18 · 22:40G. Sawicki1.70111117113O. Sokolowski2.00781981
J. Michalski10
LSep 19 · 23:55R. Szymik1.191111113J. Michalski3.508880WSep 19 · 21:55J. Michalski2.201111113J. Nowak1.577690WSep 19 · 20:45D. Dytko1.377101191J. Michalski2.8011124113LSep 19 · 19:30D. Fira1.60471111113J. Michalski2.1511114342LSep 19 · 17:55R. Szymik1.251111113J. Michalski3.707340WSep 12 · 04:40J. Michalski1.601211113A. Szurgot2.1110580LSep 12 · 03:05R. Szymik1.211111113J. Michalski3.706670WSep 12 · 02:20J. Badura1.4177111182J. Michalski2.70111169113LSep 12 · 01:30J. Michalski2.9011670J. Orszulik1.321311113LSep 12 · 24:20J. Michalski2.376810R. Wiza1.481111113
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