TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13156319
Played Sep 19Finished
Grzegorz Sawicki
Home
1.75
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9119111517––––
Jakub Nowak
Away
1.98
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:27 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Sawicki to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
9119111517––––
H2H Grzegorz Sawicki 24–23 Jakub Nowak Jakub Nowak has won 23 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:27What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Sawicki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-23 in 47
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sawicki 1344 vs Nowak 1214
Sawicki
Wrong
both rated, 130 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sawicki 100% vs Nowak 40%
Sawicki
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sawicki 80% vs Nowak 20%
Sawicki
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sawicki +6 · Nowak -2
Sawicki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sawicki) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nowak form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSawicki 1.75 / Nowak 1.98
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sawicki)+0.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13156319
Sawicki1.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 46 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Nowak1.98
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog36% won 233 of 648
Down 0–1, comes back21% 83 of 390
Down 0–2, comes back9% 20 of 227
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSawicki4wins
AwayNowak6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderNowak leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSawicki60%3 of 5
AwayNowak80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sawicki5Nowak5n = 10split evenly
S2Sawicki4Nowak6n = 10Nowak took 6 of 10
S3Sawicki8Nowak2n = 10Sawicki took 8 of 10
S4Sawicki3Nowak5n = 8Nowak took 5 of 8
S5Sawicki2Nowak4n = 6Nowak took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSawickiNowakS − NBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.642.6−1.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSawickiNowakBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 912 vs 670 / 173539.4%38.6%359 / 912 vs 670 / 1735Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SawickiSawicki 1.75/Nowak 1.98
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sawicki · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Nowak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 06:05G. Sawicki30691141J. Nowak4211119113
WAug 29 · 23:55G. Sawicki44114117113J. Nowak4671191182
LAug 29 · 17:55G. Sawicki49118101192J. Nowak47711126113
WJun 28 · 23:35G. Sawicki341111123J. Nowak2688100
LJun 28 · 17:35G. Sawicki46911114112J. Nowak50117811133
WJun 28 · 03:55G. Sawicki52981311113J. Nowak45111111752
LJun 27 · 21:55G. Sawicki52149101182J. Nowak491211123113
LMay 3 · 23:35G. Sawicki42101511152J. Nowak551213811113
LMay 3 · 17:35G. Sawicki33941191J. Nowak4211119113
WApr 5 · 01:55G. Sawicki341112113J. Nowak2451090
G. Sawicki10
WSep 19 · 18:45G. Sawicki2.60119147113R. Szymik1.41911121172WSep 19 · 04:40G. Sawicki1.901111153O. Sokolowski1.7559130WSep 19 · 03:05D. Fira1.618790G. Sawicki1.971111113WSep 19 · 02:20A. Ruszkiewicz1.6111139952G. Sawicki1.977111111113WSep 19 · 01:30G. Sawicki1.671111113R. Adach1.898970WSep 19 · 24:20G. Sawicki2.75911138113K. Juszczyk1.31117111162WSep 18 · 22:40G. Sawicki1.70111117113O. Sokolowski2.00781981LSep 18 · 21:05D. Fira1.711111113G. Sawicki2.008570LSep 18 · 20:20K. Juszczyk1.4112114113G. Sawicki2.601091171WSep 18 · 19:30G. Sawicki1.761211113R. Adach1.9010840
J. Nowak10
LSep 19 · 01:45J. Nowak1.3081112111A. Szurgot3.4011414133LSep 19 · 24:35J. Nowak1.5792110I. Szymanski2.251111133WSep 18 · 23:20J. Nowak2.001311118113M. Baron1.7315951182LSep 18 · 22:10K. Durak1.2511611113J. Nowak3.75911761WSep 18 · 21:20J. Nowak2.001111113R. Szymik1.735790LSep 18 · 07:45J. Nowak1.80541181J. Pelka1.9111119113LSep 18 · 06:30J. Nowak2.38761581W. Urban1.53111113113LSep 18 · 05:15J. Nowak2.50121110141S. Szostok1.5014512163LSep 18 · 04:10P. Adamus1.80111011113J. Nowak1.91912781LSep 18 · 03:25J. Nowak1.73711111092O. Vincenec2.00119812113
Upcoming Matches
G. Sawicki
J. Nowak
Sep 19 · 19:10J. Nowak2.05D. Dytko1.66—Sep 19 · 19:55J. Nowak2.35R. Szymik1.50—Sep 19 · 21:55J. Nowak1.40J. Michalski2.75—Sep 19 · 22:40J. Nowak1.74D. Fira1.95—Sep 19 · 23:30J. Nowak2.04D. Dytko1.56—Sep 20 · 01:10J. Nowak1.59G. Sawicki2.00—Sep 20 · 01:55J. Nowak2.29R. Szymik1.44—Sep 20 · 03:55J. Nowak—J. Michalski——Sep 20 · 04:40J. Nowak—D. Fira——
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.