TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13158403
Played Sep 19Finished
Dmytro Skvarskyi
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
14161147111210117
Mateusz Galus
Away
1.78
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
103 points played in total.
Set by set
14161147111210117
H2H Dmytro Skvarskyi 8–2 Mateusz Galus Mateusz Galus has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skvarskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvarskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvarskyi 1.91 / Galus 1.78
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skvarskyi)+5.7pp
TT Cup · #13158403
Skvarskyi1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Galus1.78
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 127 of 228
Up 2–0, closes it98% 63 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it79% 92 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvarskyi8wins
AwayGalus2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSkvarskyi leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvarskyi100%5 of 5
AwayGalus40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvarskyi5Galus5n = 10split evenly
S2Skvarskyi5Galus5n = 10split evenly
S3Skvarskyi8Galus2n = 10Skvarskyi took 8 of 10
S4Skvarskyi4Galus4n = 8split evenly
S5Skvarskyi3Galus0n = 3Skvarskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvarskyiGalusS − GBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.537.1+3.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvarskyiGalusBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 233 vs 358 / 67467.8%53.1%158 / 233 vs 358 / 674Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvarskyiSkvarskyi 1.91/Galus 1.78
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skvarskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skvarskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi47611118113M. Galus4311961162
WSep 17 · 09:30D. Skvarskyi351113113M. Galus2991190
WSep 10 · 07:00D. Skvarskyi511111117113M. Galus4613781172
LJul 15 · 07:00D. Skvarskyi36781291M. Galus43111110113
LApr 14 · 05:00D. Skvarskyi2155110M. Galus351111133
WApr 13 · 07:30D. Skvarskyi518111110113M. Galus4611881272
WApr 9 · 11:30D. Skvarskyi4213711113M. Galus311111451
WApr 7 · 09:30D. Skvarskyi4211127123M. Galus3431011101
WFeb 25 · 09:30D. Skvarskyi4311912113M. Galus313111071
WFeb 24 · 08:30D. Skvarskyi3711411113M. Galus33911941
D. Skvarskyi10
LSep 19 · 06:35D. Skvarskyi1.4191460D. Stapor2.601116113LSep 18 · 13:10D. Skvarskyi1.85511514122M. Lysakowski1.851141112143WSep 18 · 12:00M. Lysakowski1.87791141D. Skvarskyi1.8311118113WSep 18 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi1.57611118113M. Galus2.2511961162LSep 18 · 08:30M. Stepien2.501111113D. Skvarskyi1.405580LSep 18 · 06:30P. Gola3.3511117133D. Skvarskyi1.289311111WSep 18 · 05:30D. Stapor2.37118111482D. Skvarskyi1.52711616113LSep 17 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi2.1569111132S. Wloszek1.63111194113LSep 17 · 11:00D. Skvarskyi2.325311111S. Radlo1.5511117133WSep 17 · 09:30D. Skvarskyi1.411113113M. Galus2.7091190
M. Galus10
WSep 19 · 09:35M. Galus1.801111113D. Stapor1.903690WSep 19 · 07:05M. Galus1.4911118113S. Wloszek2.50441181WSep 18 · 12:40M. Galus—11119113D. Stapor—791181LSep 18 · 11:30M. Stepien2.05117119113M. Galus1.6691171182LSep 18 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi1.57611118113M. Galus2.2511961162WSep 18 · 09:00D. Stapor2.001191081M. Galus1.7091112113LSep 18 · 07:00M. Lysakowski1.661111153M. Galus2.0567130WSep 18 · 05:00P. Gola2.408670M. Galus1.501111113LSep 17 · 13:10M. Galus1.96811111262M. Stepien1.761181310113LSep 17 · 09:30D. Skvarskyi1.411113113M. Galus2.7091190
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