TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145267
Played Sep 17Finished
Dmytro Skvarskyi
Home
1.41
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191311119––––
Mateusz Galus
Away
2.70
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:35 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeDmytro Skvarskyi to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
1191311119––––
H2H Dmytro Skvarskyi 7–2 Mateusz Galus Mateusz Galus has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:35What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (66%)
Skvarskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Skvarskyi
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvarskyi 1796 vs Galus 1645
Skvarskyi
Correct
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvarskyi 80% vs Galus 60%
Skvarskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvarskyi 70% vs Galus 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvarskyi +4 · Galus +2
Skvarskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Skvarskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Galus form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (37%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvarskyi 1.41 / Galus 2.70
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Skvarskyi)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13145267
Skvarskyi1.41
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 71 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it75% 38 of 51
Galus2.70
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 28 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSkvarskyi7wins
AwayGalus2wins
2 of 9 to a deciderSkvarskyi leads 7–2, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvarskyi100%5 of 5
AwayGalus50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvarskyi5Galus4n = 9Skvarskyi took 5 of 9
S2Skvarskyi4Galus5n = 9Galus took 5 of 9
S3Skvarskyi7Galus2n = 9Skvarskyi took 7 of 9
S4Skvarskyi4Galus3n = 7Skvarskyi took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricSkvarskyiGalusS − GBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match39.836.4+3.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvarskyiGalusBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 224 vs 352 / 66569.2%52.9%155 / 224 vs 352 / 665Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvarskyiSkvarskyi 1.41/Galus 2.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.1%
Skvarskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skvarskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 17 · 09:30D. Skvarskyi351113113M. Galus2991190
WSep 10 · 07:00D. Skvarskyi511111117113M. Galus4613781172
LJul 15 · 07:00D. Skvarskyi36781291M. Galus43111110113
LApr 14 · 05:00D. Skvarskyi2155110M. Galus351111133
WApr 13 · 07:30D. Skvarskyi518111110113M. Galus4611881272
WApr 9 · 11:30D. Skvarskyi4213711113M. Galus311111451
WApr 7 · 09:30D. Skvarskyi4211127123M. Galus3431011101
WFeb 25 · 09:30D. Skvarskyi4311912113M. Galus313111071
WFeb 24 · 08:30D. Skvarskyi3711411113M. Galus33911941
D. Skvarskyi10
WSep 17 · 08:00D. Skvarskyi1.4711117113S. Wloszek2.50591161WSep 17 · 06:30D. Skvarskyi1.40111481113M. Stepien2.75512111132WSep 17 · 05:00D. Skvarskyi1.981111113M. Lysakowski1.755680WSep 14 · 13:00D. Skvarskyi1.757111110113B. Molka1.9711481292LSep 14 · 11:00B. Molka2.40651111143D. Skvarskyi1.51111168122WSep 14 · 10:00D. Skvarskyi1.331112113P. Gola3.1051050WSep 14 · 09:00D. Skvarskyi1.411111113M. Burkacki2.602950WSep 14 · 07:30D. Skvarskyi1.50135138113M. Stepien2.401111111132LSep 14 · 05:30D. Skvarskyi1.49351161S. Wloszek2.4511116113LSep 12 · 14:05D. Skvarskyi1.821168101M. Lysakowski1.8881111123
M. Galus10
WSep 17 · 08:30M. Galus1.6111811113M. Stepien2.15911511WSep 17 · 07:30S. Radlo2.029460M. Galus1.681111113LSep 17 · 07:00M. Galus1.474911111S. Wloszek2.5011117133WSep 11 · 13:00B. Molka1.916790M. Galus1.801111113LSep 11 · 11:30M. Ovcharenko1.661111113M. Galus2.104550LSep 11 · 10:30P. Gola2.10121310113M. Galus1.6010111291LSep 11 · 09:00B. Molka2.2011911113M. Galus1.60911971WSep 11 · 07:00D. Stapor1.95114141142M. Galus1.74911169113WSep 11 · 05:00M. Lysakowski1.668590M. Galus2.021111113WSep 10 · 13:10S. Wloszek2.8071170M. Galus1.391113113
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