TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129402
Played Sep 14Finished
Dmytro Skvarskyi
Home
1.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111141181012119
Bartlomiej Molka
Away
1.97
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
7111141181012119
H2H Dmytro Skvarskyi 10–9 Bartlomiej Molka Bartlomiej Molka has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Molka beat Skvarskyi 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Skvarskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molka form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvarskyi 1.75 / Molka 1.97
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Skvarskyi)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13129402
Skvarskyi1.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 67 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it75% 35 of 47
Molka1.97
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 168 of 377
Down 0–1, comes back21% 43 of 209
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvarskyi4wins
AwayMolka6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMolka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvarskyi50%2 of 4
AwayMolka66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvarskyi4Molka6n = 10Molka took 6 of 10
S2Skvarskyi9Molka1n = 10Skvarskyi took 9 of 10
S3Skvarskyi4Molka6n = 10Molka took 6 of 10
S4Skvarskyi2Molka6n = 8Molka took 6 of 8
S5Skvarskyi1Molka2n = 3Molka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvarskyiMolkaS − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.837.7−1.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvarskyiMolkaBasisWin rate · lifetime150 / 219 vs 538 / 117468.5%45.8%150 / 219 vs 538 / 1174Avg sets wonper match2.41.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvarskyiSkvarskyi 1.75/Molka 1.97
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Skvarskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skvarskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 11:00D. Skvarskyi48111168122B. Molka47651111143
LSep 7 · 05:30D. Skvarskyi25312461B. Molka43111011113
LSep 5 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi33711871B. Molka3911611113
LJul 17 · 07:30D. Skvarskyi32117681B. Molka4291111113
WApr 12 · 15:35D. Skvarskyi331111113B. Molka193970
LApr 10 · 13:10D. Skvarskyi3871131162B. Molka50118119113
WApr 10 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi46611117113B. Molka3711541162
WApr 9 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi331111113B. Molka198380
WApr 6 · 17:00D. Skvarskyi4151114113B. Molka381181271
LFeb 28 · 07:35D. Skvarskyi29212871B. Molka43111011113
D. Skvarskyi10
LSep 14 · 11:00B. Molka2.40651111143D. Skvarskyi1.51111168122WSep 14 · 10:00D. Skvarskyi1.331112113P. Gola3.1051050WSep 14 · 09:00D. Skvarskyi1.411111113M. Burkacki2.602950WSep 14 · 07:30D. Skvarskyi1.50135138113M. Stepien2.401111111132LSep 14 · 05:30D. Skvarskyi1.49351161S. Wloszek2.4511116113LSep 12 · 14:05D. Skvarskyi1.821168101M. Lysakowski1.8881111123WSep 12 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi1.9811117113M. Lysakowski1.73891171WSep 12 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.50611511113S. Radlo2.3511511582WSep 12 · 09:05D. Skvarskyi1.441312123M. Stepien2.601110100LSep 12 · 07:35D. Skvarskyi1.71111110992M. Ovcharenko2.00771211113
B. Molka10
WSep 14 · 11:00B. Molka2.40651111143D. Skvarskyi1.51111168122WSep 14 · 09:30B. Molka2.4091111113M. Stepien1.50116781LSep 14 · 08:00B. Molka2.103511101P. Gola1.6011117123LSep 14 · 06:30B. Molka1.749111191S. Wloszek1.9511913113LSep 14 · 05:00B. Molka1.54128361M. Burkacki2.25101111113WSep 13 · 23:40M. Stepien1.497880B. Molka2.451111113LSep 13 · 22:05B. Molka2.11117831P. Gola1.6691111113WSep 13 · 20:05S. Wloszek1.955814131B. Molka1.74111112153WSep 13 · 18:05S. Radlo2.10811130B. Molka1.661113153LSep 13 · 17:05B. Molka2.4056100M. Stepien1.511111123
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.