TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13128553
Played Sep 14Finished
Bartlomiej Molka
Home
2.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911116117118––
Marcin Stepien
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
911116117118––
H2H Bartlomiej Molka 59–65 Marcin Stepien Bartlomiej Molka has won 59 of their 124 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Stepien)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molka form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolka 2.40 / Stepien 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Stepien)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13128553
Molka2.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 168 of 377
Down 0–1, comes back21% 43 of 209
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 117
Stepien1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 194 of 332
Up 2–0, closes it94% 135 of 143
Up 1–0, closes it81% 158 of 194
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolka6wins
AwayStepien4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMolka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolka80%4 of 5
AwayStepien60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molka5Stepien5n = 10split evenly
S2Molka3Stepien7n = 10Stepien took 7 of 10
S3Molka4Stepien6n = 10Stepien took 6 of 10
S4Molka5Stepien1n = 6Molka took 5 of 6
S5Molka3Stepien1n = 4Molka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolkaStepienM − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.638.0+0.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolkaStepienBasisWin rate · lifetime536 / 1172 vs 652 / 117445.7%55.5%536 / 1172 vs 652 / 1174Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StepienMolka 2.40/Stepien 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.9%
Stepien · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Molka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 23:40B. Molka331111113M. Stepien237880
LSep 13 · 17:05B. Molka2156100M. Stepien341111123
WSep 7 · 13:10B. Molka44115115123M. Stepien47811711102
LSep 7 · 10:00B. Molka4811891192M. Stepien43511115113
WSep 6 · 15:35B. Molka46111014113M. Stepien355121261
LAug 31 · 10:00B. Molka2781270M. Stepien361114113
LAug 30 · 16:35B. Molka238690M. Stepien331111113
WAug 24 · 13:30B. Molka55717911113M. Stepien48111511742
WAug 24 · 08:30B. Molka3961111113M. Stepien34118781
WAug 23 · 20:35B. Molka50136911113M. Stepien47111111772
B. Molka10
LSep 14 · 08:00B. Molka2.103511101P. Gola1.6011117123LSep 14 · 06:30B. Molka1.749111191S. Wloszek1.9511913113LSep 14 · 05:00B. Molka1.54128361M. Burkacki2.25101111113WSep 13 · 23:40M. Stepien1.497880B. Molka2.451111113LSep 13 · 22:05B. Molka2.11117831P. Gola1.6691111113WSep 13 · 20:05S. Wloszek1.955814131B. Molka1.74111112153WSep 13 · 18:05S. Radlo2.10811130B. Molka1.661113153LSep 13 · 17:05B. Molka2.4056100M. Stepien1.511111123WSep 13 · 16:05M. Lysakowski1.50881271B. Molka2.40111110113LSep 11 · 13:00B. Molka1.916790M. Galus1.801111113
M. Stepien10
WSep 14 · 08:30M. Stepien1.39891111113S. Wloszek2.7011119572LSep 14 · 07:30D. Skvarskyi1.50135138113M. Stepien2.401111111132WSep 14 · 06:00M. Stepien1.401111113P. Gola2.756550LSep 13 · 23:40M. Stepien1.497880B. Molka2.451111113WSep 13 · 21:35M. Lysakowski2.00115571M. Stepien1.7181111113LSep 13 · 20:35P. Gola2.4511911113M. Stepien1.49711891WSep 13 · 19:05S. Wloszek2.60111051152M. Stepien1.41912116113WSep 13 · 17:05B. Molka2.4056100M. Stepien1.511111123WSep 13 · 15:05S. Radlo2.25313771M. Stepien1.54111111113LSep 12 · 13:05M. Stepien2.158760M. Ovcharenko1.581111113
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