TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13152506
Played Sep 18Finished
Dmytro Skvarskyi
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611119116811116
Mateusz Galus
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:14 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timeDmytro Skvarskyi to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
611119116811116
H2H Dmytro Skvarskyi 7–2 Mateusz Galus Mateusz Galus has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:14What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Skvarskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Skvarskyi
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvarskyi 1732 vs Galus 1650
Skvarskyi
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvarskyi 20% vs Galus 60%
Galus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvarskyi 60% vs Galus 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvarskyi -2 · Galus +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Skvarskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Galus form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvarskyi 1.57 / Galus 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Skvarskyi)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13152506
Skvarskyi1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 71 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it75% 38 of 51
Galus2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 28 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSkvarskyi7wins
AwayGalus2wins
2 of 9 to a deciderSkvarskyi leads 7–2, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvarskyi100%5 of 5
AwayGalus50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvarskyi5Galus4n = 9Skvarskyi took 5 of 9
S2Skvarskyi4Galus5n = 9Galus took 5 of 9
S3Skvarskyi7Galus2n = 9Skvarskyi took 7 of 9
S4Skvarskyi4Galus3n = 7Skvarskyi took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricSkvarskyiGalusS − GBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match39.836.4+3.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvarskyiGalusBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 229 vs 356 / 66968.1%53.2%156 / 229 vs 356 / 669Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvarskyiSkvarskyi 1.57/Galus 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Skvarskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skvarskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 17 · 09:30D. Skvarskyi351113113M. Galus2991190
WSep 10 · 07:00D. Skvarskyi511111117113M. Galus4613781172
LJul 15 · 07:00D. Skvarskyi36781291M. Galus43111110113
LApr 14 · 05:00D. Skvarskyi2155110M. Galus351111133
WApr 13 · 07:30D. Skvarskyi518111110113M. Galus4611881272
WApr 9 · 11:30D. Skvarskyi4213711113M. Galus311111451
WApr 7 · 09:30D. Skvarskyi4211127123M. Galus3431011101
WFeb 25 · 09:30D. Skvarskyi4311912113M. Galus313111071
WFeb 24 · 08:30D. Skvarskyi3711411113M. Galus33911941
D. Skvarskyi10
LSep 18 · 08:30M. Stepien2.501111113D. Skvarskyi1.405580LSep 18 · 06:30P. Gola3.3511117133D. Skvarskyi1.289311111WSep 18 · 05:30D. Stapor2.37118111482D. Skvarskyi1.52711616113LSep 17 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi2.1569111132S. Wloszek1.63111194113LSep 17 · 11:00D. Skvarskyi2.325311111S. Radlo1.5511117133WSep 17 · 09:30D. Skvarskyi1.411113113M. Galus2.7091190WSep 17 · 08:00D. Skvarskyi1.4711117113S. Wloszek2.50591161WSep 17 · 06:30D. Skvarskyi1.40111481113M. Stepien2.75512111132WSep 17 · 05:00D. Skvarskyi1.981111113M. Lysakowski1.755680WSep 14 · 13:00D. Skvarskyi1.757111110113B. Molka1.9711481292
M. Galus10
LSep 18 · 11:30M. Stepien2.05117119113M. Galus1.6691171182WSep 18 · 09:00D. Stapor2.001191081M. Galus1.7091112113LSep 18 · 07:00M. Lysakowski1.661111153M. Galus2.0567130WSep 18 · 05:00P. Gola2.408670M. Galus1.501111113LSep 17 · 13:10M. Galus1.96811111262M. Stepien1.761181310113WSep 17 · 11:30M. Galus1.95127811133M. Lysakowski1.751011119112LSep 17 · 09:30D. Skvarskyi1.411113113M. Galus2.7091190WSep 17 · 08:30M. Galus1.6111811113M. Stepien2.15911511WSep 17 · 07:30S. Radlo2.029460M. Galus1.681111113LSep 17 · 07:00M. Galus1.474911111S. Wloszek2.5011117133
Upcoming Matches
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