TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13155836
Played Sep 19Finished
Mateusz Galus
Home
1.49
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114114811118––
Sylwester Wloszek
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSylwester Wloszek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
114114811118––
H2H Mateusz Galus 47–31 Sylwester Wloszek Sylwester Wloszek has won 31 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:07What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.49 (63%)
Galus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-31 in 78
Galus
Correct
gap of 16 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Galus 1643 vs Wloszek 1608
Galus
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Galus 40% vs Wloszek 60%
Wloszek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Galus 50% vs Wloszek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Galus +1 · Wloszek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Galus) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloszek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGalus 1.49 / Wloszek 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Galus)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13155836
Galus1.49
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 127 of 228
Up 2–0, closes it98% 63 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it79% 92 of 117
Wloszek2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 122 of 329
Down 0–1, comes back17% 33 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGalus6wins
AwayWloszek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGalus leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGalus83.3%5 of 6
AwayWloszek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Galus6Wloszek4n = 10Galus took 6 of 10
S2Galus4Wloszek6n = 10Wloszek took 6 of 10
S3Galus7Wloszek3n = 10Galus took 7 of 10
S4Galus5Wloszek2n = 7Galus took 5 of 7
S5Galus2Wloszek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGalusWloszekG − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.737.1+2.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGalusWloszekBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 674 vs 470 / 106253.1%44.3%358 / 674 vs 470 / 1062Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GalusGalus 1.49/Wloszek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.1%
Galus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Galus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 07:05M. Galus4111118113S. Wloszek27441181
LSep 17 · 07:00M. Galus354911111S. Wloszek4211117133
WSep 10 · 13:10M. Galus351113113S. Wloszek2571170
LSep 10 · 07:30M. Galus45116412122S. Wloszek548111110143
LAug 27 · 06:00M. Galus357612101S. Wloszek44111110123
WAug 26 · 05:00M. Galus341211113S. Wloszek2110560
WAug 25 · 07:30M. Galus45116611113S. Wloszek4071111292
WAug 20 · 12:00M. Galus341112113S. Wloszek2451090
LAug 19 · 07:00M. Galus4397111152S. Wloszek48111178113
WAug 18 · 08:30M. Galus50781111133S. Wloszek46111194112
M. Galus10
WSep 18 · 12:40M. Galus—11119113D. Stapor—791181LSep 18 · 11:30M. Stepien2.05117119113M. Galus1.6691171182LSep 18 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi1.57611118113M. Galus2.2511961162WSep 18 · 09:00D. Stapor2.001191081M. Galus1.7091112113LSep 18 · 07:00M. Lysakowski1.661111153M. Galus2.0567130WSep 18 · 05:00P. Gola2.408670M. Galus1.501111113LSep 17 · 13:10M. Galus1.96811111262M. Stepien1.761181310113WSep 17 · 11:30M. Galus1.95127811133M. Lysakowski1.751011119112LSep 17 · 09:30D. Skvarskyi1.411113113M. Galus2.7091190WSep 17 · 08:30M. Galus1.6111811113M. Stepien2.15911511
S. Wloszek10
WSep 17 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi2.1569111132S. Wloszek1.63111194113LSep 17 · 12:00S. Wloszek2.551251161M. Stepien1.46101113113WSep 17 · 10:00S. Radlo1.98101360S. Wloszek1.731215113LSep 17 · 08:00D. Skvarskyi1.4711117113S. Wloszek2.50591161WSep 17 · 07:00M. Galus1.474911111S. Wloszek2.5011117133WSep 17 · 06:00S. Wloszek2.3881113113M. Lysakowski1.491191171WSep 14 · 13:30M. Burkacki2.151251451S. Wloszek1.62141112113WSep 14 · 12:00P. Gola1.469990S. Wloszek2.501111113LSep 14 · 10:30S. Wloszek1.50961191M. Burkacki2.3611117113LSep 14 · 08:30M. Stepien1.39891111113S. Wloszek2.7011119572
Upcoming Matches
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S. Wloszek
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