TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129507
Played Sep 14Finished
Mateusz Burkacki
Home
2.15
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12145111412511––
Sylwester Wloszek
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
12145111412511––
H2H Mateusz Burkacki 12–15 Sylwester Wloszek Mateusz Burkacki has won 12 of their 27 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Burkacki beat Wloszek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Wloszek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burkacki form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurkacki 2.15 / Wloszek 1.62
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Wloszek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13129507
Burkacki2.15
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 52 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back23% 19 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 48
Wloszek1.62
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 53 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it85% 23 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it71% 42 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurkacki6wins
AwayWloszek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBurkacki leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurkacki80%4 of 5
AwayWloszek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burkacki5Wloszek5n = 10split evenly
S2Burkacki6Wloszek4n = 10Burkacki took 6 of 10
S3Burkacki5Wloszek5n = 10split evenly
S4Burkacki3Wloszek5n = 8Wloszek took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurkackiWloszekB − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.636.4+0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurkackiWloszekBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 224 vs 461 / 105140.6%43.9%91 / 224 vs 461 / 1051Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WloszekBurkacki 2.15/Wloszek 1.62
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.4%
Wloszek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wloszek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 10:30M. Burkacki4011117113S. Wloszek35961191
WSep 9 · 11:30M. Burkacki3961111113S. Wloszek35118971
WSep 8 · 11:30M. Burkacki511011118113S. Wloszek3912281162
WSep 3 · 11:00M. Burkacki511111711113S. Wloszek4576111382
LSep 2 · 08:30M. Burkacki166370S. Wloszek331111113
WJul 7 · 06:30M. Burkacki4211811123S. Wloszek369116101
LJul 6 · 07:30M. Burkacki35913761S. Wloszek44111111113
LJul 5 · 19:05M. Burkacki27114571S. Wloszek4071111113
WJul 2 · 12:40M. Burkacki331111113S. Wloszek141760
LJul 2 · 10:30M. Burkacki32571281S. Wloszek43111110113
M. Burkacki10
WSep 14 · 11:30M. Stepien1.461141161M. Burkacki2.4861113113WSep 14 · 10:30S. Wloszek1.50961191M. Burkacki2.3611117113LSep 14 · 09:00D. Skvarskyi1.411111113M. Burkacki2.602950WSep 14 · 07:00P. Gola1.5211115362M. Burkacki2.37551111113WSep 14 · 05:00B. Molka1.54128361M. Burkacki2.25101111113LSep 9 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi2.5351111133M. Burkacki1.471187111WSep 9 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.0561111113S. Wloszek1.66118971LSep 9 · 09:30P. Gola1.561012118113M. Burkacki2.18121091152LSep 9 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.5011711752D. Skvarskyi1.47911911113WSep 9 · 07:30M. Lysakowski1.39812100M. Burkacki2.801114123
S. Wloszek10
WSep 14 · 12:00P. Gola1.469990S. Wloszek2.501111113LSep 14 · 10:30S. Wloszek1.50961191M. Burkacki2.3611117113LSep 14 · 08:30M. Stepien1.39891111113S. Wloszek2.7011119572WSep 14 · 06:30B. Molka1.749111191S. Wloszek1.9511913113WSep 14 · 05:30D. Skvarskyi1.49351161S. Wloszek2.4511116113WSep 13 · 23:10M. Lysakowski1.181199171S. Wloszek4.5071111193WSep 13 · 21:05S. Radlo1.718860S. Wloszek2.001111113LSep 13 · 20:05S. Wloszek1.955814131B. Molka1.74111112153LSep 13 · 19:05S. Wloszek2.60111051152M. Stepien1.41912116113LSep 9 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.0561111113S. Wloszek1.66118971
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