TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145909
Played Sep 17Finished
Sylwester Wloszek
Home
2.55
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12105111113611––
Marcin Stepien
Away
1.46
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSylwester Wloszek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
12105111113611––
H2H Sylwester Wloszek 35–81 Marcin Stepien Sylwester Wloszek has won 35 of their 116 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:32What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (64%)
Stepien
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-81 in 116
Stepien
Correct
gap of 46 in 116, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloszek 1616 vs Stepien 1584
Wloszek
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloszek 80% vs Stepien 40%
Wloszek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloszek 70% vs Stepien 40%
Wloszek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloszek +1 · Stepien -3
Stepien
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Stepien) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stepien form (40%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloszek 2.55 / Stepien 1.46
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Stepien)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13145909
Wloszek2.55
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 121 of 328
Down 0–1, comes back17% 33 of 197
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 124
Stepien1.46
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 190 of 326
Up 2–0, closes it94% 130 of 138
Up 1–0, closes it80% 153 of 191
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloszek3wins
AwayStepien7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderStepien leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloszek20%1 of 5
AwayStepien60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloszek5Stepien5n = 10split evenly
S2Wloszek2Stepien8n = 10Stepien took 8 of 10
S3Wloszek5Stepien5n = 10split evenly
S4Wloszek3Stepien5n = 8Stepien took 5 of 8
S5Wloszek2Stepien3n = 5Stepien took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloszekStepienW − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.544.7−6.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloszekStepienBasisWin rate · lifetime465 / 1056 vs 648 / 116744%55.5%465 / 1056 vs 648 / 1167Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StepienWloszek 2.55/Stepien 1.46
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.8%
Stepien · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stepien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 08:30S. Wloszek4311119572M. Stepien50891111113
LSep 13 · 19:05S. Wloszek42111051152M. Stepien49912116113
WSep 10 · 09:00S. Wloszek561381112123M. Stepien541111814102
LSep 6 · 23:05S. Wloszek148330M. Stepien331111113
LSep 6 · 20:05S. Wloszek46118116102M. Stepien52911911123
LAug 27 · 08:00S. Wloszek208930M. Stepien331111113
WAug 25 · 10:00S. Wloszek49961211113M. Stepien48111110972
WAug 20 · 06:00S. Wloszek4481311123M. Stepien4111119101
LAug 18 · 10:30S. Wloszek361281151M. Stepien4514119113
LAug 17 · 12:40S. Wloszek35119961M. Stepien4291111113
S. Wloszek10
WSep 17 · 10:00S. Radlo1.98101360S. Wloszek1.731215113LSep 17 · 08:00D. Skvarskyi1.4711117113S. Wloszek2.50591161WSep 17 · 07:00M. Galus1.474911111S. Wloszek2.5011117133WSep 17 · 06:00S. Wloszek2.3881113113M. Lysakowski1.491191171WSep 14 · 13:30M. Burkacki2.151251451S. Wloszek1.62141112113WSep 14 · 12:00P. Gola1.469990S. Wloszek2.501111113LSep 14 · 10:30S. Wloszek1.50961191M. Burkacki2.3611117113LSep 14 · 08:30M. Stepien1.39891111113S. Wloszek2.7011119572WSep 14 · 06:30B. Molka1.749111191S. Wloszek1.9511913113WSep 14 · 05:30D. Skvarskyi1.49351161S. Wloszek2.4511116113
M. Stepien10
LSep 17 · 10:30M. Stepien1.82811841M. Lysakowski1.9011711113LSep 17 · 08:30M. Galus1.6111811113M. Stepien2.15911511LSep 17 · 06:30D. Skvarskyi1.40111481113M. Stepien2.75512111132WSep 17 · 05:30S. Radlo2.371112100M. Stepien1.521314123WSep 14 · 12:30M. Stepien—1115613113P. Gola—917111182LSep 14 · 11:30M. Stepien1.461141161M. Burkacki2.4861113113LSep 14 · 09:30B. Molka2.4091111113M. Stepien1.50116781WSep 14 · 08:30M. Stepien1.39891111113S. Wloszek2.7011119572LSep 14 · 07:30D. Skvarskyi1.50135138113M. Stepien2.401111111132WSep 14 · 06:00M. Stepien1.401111113P. Gola2.756550
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