TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142072
Played Sep 18Finished
Ivan Kozachuk
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111191311116––
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:32 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeIvan Kozachuk to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Kozachuk above · Ruslan Haiseniuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 81 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Ivan Kozachuk at 75.3%
81 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Kozachuk 19–8 Ruslan Haiseniuk Ruslan Haiseniuk has won 8 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:32What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Kozachuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-8 in 27
Kozachuk
Correct
gap of 11 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kozachuk 1748 vs Haiseniuk 1538
Kozachuk
Correct
both rated, 210 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kozachuk 40% vs Haiseniuk 60%
Haiseniuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kozachuk 30% vs Haiseniuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kozachuk -2 · Haiseniuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kozachuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Haiseniuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozachuk 1.33 / Haiseniuk 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Kozachuk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13142072
Kozachuk1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 105 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it82% 81 of 99
Haiseniuk3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog34% won 37 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKozachuk9wins
AwayHaiseniuk1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKozachuk leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKozachuk100%7 of 7
AwayHaiseniuk33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kozachuk7Haiseniuk3n = 10Kozachuk took 7 of 10
S2Kozachuk8Haiseniuk2n = 10Kozachuk took 8 of 10
S3Kozachuk6Haiseniuk4n = 10Kozachuk took 6 of 10
S4Kozachuk6Haiseniuk2n = 8Kozachuk took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKozachukHaiseniukK − HBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.132.9+6.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozachukHaiseniukBasisWin rate · lifetime548 / 1098 vs 402 / 73849.9%54.5%548 / 1098 vs 402 / 738Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozachukKozachuk 1.33/Haiseniuk 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Kozachuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kozachuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 24:00I. Kozachuk331111113R. Haiseniuk259790
WSep 5 · 10:35I. Kozachuk4311129113R. Haiseniuk346101171
WSep 4 · 01:00I. Kozachuk331111113R. Haiseniuk206770
WAug 28 · 24:00I. Kozachuk3711411113R. Haiseniuk28811811
WAug 13 · 20:30I. Kozachuk4691111153R. Haiseniuk371167131
WAug 7 · 18:05I. Kozachuk47111177113R. Haiseniuk4678111192
WAug 7 · 01:00I. Kozachuk4113116113R. Haiseniuk381181181
WAug 1 · 05:05I. Kozachuk3611113113R. Haiseniuk28491141
LJul 31 · 12:35I. Kozachuk33981151R. Haiseniuk3911116113
WJul 30 · 20:30I. Kozachuk4291111113R. Haiseniuk34118781
I. Kozachuk10
WSep 18 · 01:00I. Kozachuk1.831111123D. Shcherbak1.8384100LSep 17 · 22:30I. Kozachuk1.91118881D. Pesternikov1.8071111113LSep 17 · 20:30I. Kozachuk2.63135651O. Bindas1.44111111113WSep 15 · 10:35I. Romaniak2.101011191I. Kozachuk1.6712118113LSep 15 · 09:35I. Kozachuk2.3886100S. Rak1.531111123WSep 15 · 08:35I. Kozachuk1.83115139113D. Shcherbak1.83511111192LSep 15 · 07:05I. Kozachuk2.101161141D. Pesternikov1.6751113113WSep 15 · 05:05I. Kozachuk2.501111113O. Bindas1.509880LSep 14 · 18:05O. Bindas1.4491111123I. Kozachuk2.631136101LSep 14 · 17:05I. Kozachuk2.5011119832S. Rak1.50891111113
R. Haiseniuk10
LSep 17 · 22:00D. Shcherbak1.331111113R. Haiseniuk3.258990WSep 17 · 20:00S. Rak1.2811911892R. Haiseniuk3.50711311113WSep 12 · 11:05I. Romaniak1.571211681R. Haiseniuk2.25101311113LSep 12 · 10:05R. Lazebnyi1.8091111113R. Haiseniuk1.91117751WSep 12 · 08:35Y. Kravets2.3812311892R. Haiseniuk1.531011311113LSep 12 · 06:35N. Kovalchuk1.731111113R. Haiseniuk2.005830LSep 12 · 04:35V. Plishylo1.8391411113R. Haiseniuk1.831112981LSep 11 · 18:35R. Haiseniuk2.2029111162I. Romaniak1.6111119673LSep 11 · 16:35N. Kovalchuk1.831111113R. Haiseniuk1.839660WSep 11 · 15:35R. Haiseniuk1.7381111113M. Smyrnov2.00119991
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