TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil Women
WTT Star Contender Brazil WomenMatch #12302986
Played Jul 26Finished
Hina Hayata
Home
1.41
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1113911114117117
Honoka Hashimoto
Away
2.60
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHina Hayata to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHina Hayata above · Honoka Hashimoto below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 95 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Hina Hayata at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Hina Hayata 0–1 Honoka Hashimoto Hina Hayata has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:17What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Hayata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Hayata 80% vs Hashimoto 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hayata 90% vs Hashimoto 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hayata +3 · Hashimoto +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Hayata) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hashimoto form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHayata 1.41 / Hashimoto 2.60
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Hayata)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil Women · #12302986
Hayata1.41
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Hashimoto2.60
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHayata0wins
AwayHashimoto1wins
Hashimoto leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
This 1 meeting
MetricHayataHashimotoHayata − HashimotoBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match5.06.0−1.0per match
Career, not this matchup
MetricHayataHashimotoBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 10 vs 8 / 1090%80%9 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.92.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
HayataHayata 1.41/Hashimoto 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.8%
Hayata · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hayata won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 26 · 18:00H. Hayata—50H. Hashimoto—61
H. Hayata10
LSep 6 · 08:15H. Hayata1.339117181M. Hirano3.251191111114WSep 5 · 11:00H. Hayata1.1311511113A. Diaz5.50811421WSep 5 · 06:10H. Hayata1.061111113E. Abraamian8.009660WSep 4 · 11:00H. Hayata1.021211113T. Chien10.5010960WSep 3 · 05:00H. Hayata1.021111113Y. Li10.507760LAug 15 · 18:30M. Kuai1.36711111133H. Hayata3.0011536112WAug 14 · 10:35Y. Shin4.00116911102H. Hayata1.22611116123WAug 13 · 12:20T. Su8.00891291H. Hayata1.06111110113WAug 11 · 16:35J. Yuan7.0095120H. Hayata1.081111143LAug 8 · 10:15H. Hayata2.207841261M. Kuai1.6111111110114
H. Hashimoto10
LAug 13 · 16:35H. Hashimoto1.06951191Y. Peng8.0011118113WAug 10 · 11:10H. Hashimoto1.051111113Y. Yeh8.507780LAug 4 · 02:00M. Harimoto1.17115911113H. Hashimoto4.5051111952LJul 26 · 18:00H. Hayata1.501191111113H. Hashimoto2.5013114772WJul 25 · 20:00H. Hashimoto1.2511911123K. Akae3.758114101WJul 25 · 15:10H. Hashimoto1.05101111113M. Zhang8.50122341WJul 24 · 16:20H. Hashimoto1.0361111113S. Aoki10.00116831LJul 2 · 20:10H. Hashimoto1.838690H. Sato1.831111113WJul 1 · 03:20H. Hashimoto1.131311123I. Cheng5.50116100WJun 29 · 02:45H. Hashimoto1.051311113F. Yu8.5011750
Upcoming Matches
H. Hayata
H. Hashimoto
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.