TT Lossbeater/WTT Champions Montpellier Women
WTT Champions Montpellier WomenMatch #12355039
Played Aug 4Finished
Miwa Harimoto
Home
1.17
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115511911119115
Honoka Hashimoto
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:18 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeMiwa Harimoto to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiwa Harimoto above · Honoka Hashimoto below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 88 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Miwa Harimoto at 79.4%
88 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:18What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Harimoto
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Harimoto 60% vs Hashimoto 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Harimoto 70% vs Hashimoto 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Harimoto -2 · Hashimoto -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Harimoto)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hashimoto form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHarimoto 1.17 / Hashimoto 4.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Harimoto)-0.0pp
WTT Champions Montpellier Women · #12355039
Harimoto1.17
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Hashimoto4.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHarimotoHashimotoBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 6 / 1070%60%7 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.82.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HarimotoHarimoto 1.17/Hashimoto 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Harimoto · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Harimoto won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Harimoto10
LAug 16 · 10:00Y. Wang1.73111171194M. Harimoto2.0073119112WAug 15 · 17:00Y. Chen3.25161070M. Harimoto1.33111112114WAug 14 · 10:35Y. Han7.0049100M. Harimoto1.081111123WAug 13 · 17:10N. Kim6.506750M. Harimoto1.101111113WAug 12 · 17:10A. Hursey11.001165111M. Harimoto1.0251111133WAug 9 · 09:30M. Harimoto1.60131191114X. Chen2.10117119112WAug 9 · 02:30M. Harimoto3.00412121484Y. Wang1.3611101012112WAug 8 · 09:30M. Harimoto1.1311111111114Y. Shin5.505313851WAug 6 · 09:55M. Harimoto1.251191112113Y. Chen3.75131151052LJul 5 · 19:45M. Harimoto1.74912148113M. Kuai1.911110121144
H. Hashimoto10
LAug 13 · 16:35H. Hashimoto1.06951191Y. Peng8.0011118113WAug 10 · 11:10H. Hashimoto1.051111113Y. Yeh8.507780LJul 26 · 18:00H. Hayata1.501191111113H. Hashimoto2.5013114772LJul 26 · 14:00H. Hayata1.411191111113H. Hashimoto2.6013114772WJul 25 · 20:00H. Hashimoto1.2511911123K. Akae3.758114101WJul 25 · 15:10H. Hashimoto1.05101111113M. Zhang8.50122341WJul 24 · 16:20H. Hashimoto1.0361111113S. Aoki10.00116831LJul 2 · 20:10H. Hashimoto1.838690H. Sato1.831111113WJul 1 · 03:20H. Hashimoto1.131311123I. Cheng5.50116100WJun 29 · 02:45H. Hashimoto1.051311113F. Yu8.5011750
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