TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women
WTT Europe Smash Sweden WomenMatch #12440801
Played Aug 16Finished
Yidi Wang
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
4 – 2
Set by set
1171137111199111311
Miwa Harimoto
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiwa Harimoto to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYidi Wang above · Miwa Harimoto below
Set 1 · 6-7
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Set 6 · 13-11
Point 109 set 6, 13-11 — our read held Miwa Harimoto at 54.0%
109 points drawn · the score is 5 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Yidi Wang 1–0 Miwa Harimoto Miwa Harimoto has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:53What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Wang
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wang 2197 vs Harimoto 2061
Wang
Correct
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wang 80% vs Harimoto 100%
Harimoto
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wang 80% vs Harimoto 90%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wang +4 · Harimoto +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wang) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Harimoto form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWang 1.73 / Harimoto 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wang)+0.3pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women · #12440801
Wang1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Harimoto2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeWang1wins
AwayHarimoto0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderWang leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricWangHarimotoW − HBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match49.041.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWangHarimotoBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 5 vs 4 / 5100%80%5 / 5 vs 4 / 5Avg sets wonper match3.23.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WangWang 1.73/Harimoto 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wang · sealed before the serve
What happened
4–2
Wang won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 16 · 10:00Y. Wang—111171193M. Harimoto—73119112
Y. Wang10
LAug 16 · 16:00M. Wang1.281211912103Y. Wang3.501031110122WAug 15 · 11:30Y. Wang1.33111111114X. Shi3.2559790WAug 14 · 11:20Y. Wang1.3051211113S. Odo3.401110661WAug 13 · 11:10Y. Wang1.011111113D. Chitale15.008450WAug 12 · 11:10Y. Wang1.011111113S. Benjegard8.266140LAug 9 · 02:30M. Harimoto3.00412121484Y. Wang1.3611101012112WAug 8 · 02:00Y. Wang1.805111311114Y. Zhu1.9111411881WAug 7 · 04:35Y. Wang1.06141111113I. Cheng8.00168581WAug 5 · 11:15Y. Wang1.2081111113M. Ito3.60111931WAug 4 · 02:00Y. Wang1.2281111113M. Ito4.00111931
M. Harimoto10
WAug 15 · 17:00Y. Chen3.25161070M. Harimoto1.33111112114WAug 14 · 10:35Y. Han7.0049100M. Harimoto1.081111123WAug 13 · 17:10N. Kim6.506750M. Harimoto1.101111113WAug 12 · 17:10A. Hursey11.001165111M. Harimoto1.0251111133WAug 9 · 09:30M. Harimoto1.60131191114X. Chen2.10117119112WAug 9 · 02:30M. Harimoto3.00412121484Y. Wang1.3611101012112WAug 8 · 09:30M. Harimoto1.1311111111114Y. Shin5.505313851WAug 6 · 09:55M. Harimoto1.251191112113Y. Chen3.75131151052WAug 4 · 02:00M. Harimoto1.17115911113H. Hashimoto4.5051111952LJul 5 · 19:45M. Harimoto1.74912148113M. Kuai1.911110121144
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