TT Lossbeater/WTT Champions Yokohama Women
WTT Champions Yokohama WomenMatch #12366406
Played Aug 6Finished
Miwa Harimoto
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11139111151210115
Yi Chen
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:16 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeMiwa Harimoto to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiwa Harimoto above · Yi Chen below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 98 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Miwa Harimoto at 55.3%
98 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:16What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Harimoto
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Harimoto 60% vs Chen 40%
Harimoto
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Harimoto 70% vs Chen 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Harimoto -2 · Chen +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Harimoto) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chen form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHarimoto 1.25 / Chen 3.75
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Harimoto)+0.0pp
WTT Champions Yokohama Women · #12366406
Harimoto1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Chen3.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHarimotoChenBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 6 / 1070%60%7 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.82.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HarimotoHarimoto 1.25/Chen 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Harimoto · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Harimoto won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Harimoto10
LAug 16 · 10:00Y. Wang1.73111171194M. Harimoto2.0073119112WAug 15 · 17:00Y. Chen3.25161070M. Harimoto1.33111112114WAug 14 · 10:35Y. Han7.0049100M. Harimoto1.081111123WAug 13 · 17:10N. Kim6.506750M. Harimoto1.101111113WAug 12 · 17:10A. Hursey11.001165111M. Harimoto1.0251111133WAug 9 · 09:30M. Harimoto1.60131191114X. Chen2.10117119112WAug 9 · 02:30M. Harimoto3.00412121484Y. Wang1.3611101012112WAug 8 · 09:30M. Harimoto1.1311111111114Y. Shin5.505313851WAug 4 · 02:00M. Harimoto1.17115911113H. Hashimoto4.5051111952LJul 5 · 19:45M. Harimoto1.74912148113M. Kuai1.911110121144
Y. Chen10
LAug 15 · 17:00Y. Chen3.25161070M. Harimoto1.33111112114WAug 14 · 17:20A. Kaufmann3.4014101111Y. Chen1.3016129113WAug 13 · 16:35C. Kallberg8.50135631Y. Chen1.05111111113WAug 10 · 11:45M. Jee9.004380Y. Chen1.041111113WAug 5 · 03:10E. Lee6.69121231032Y. Chen1.0410101112113WAug 4 · 02:00E. Lee8.00121231032Y. Chen1.0610101112113LJun 30 · 01:35Y. Chen1.4411113772Y. Han2.63591111113LJun 20 · 03:40M. Kihara1.98111111113Y. Chen1.70913781LJun 13 · 09:35S. Yokoi4.50513128113Y. Chen1.171111101162WJun 12 · 11:55E. Lee—118861Y. Chen—81111113
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M. Harimoto
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