TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12216703
Played Jul 13Finished
Alex Moreno
Home
10.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118311911511––
Carlo Rossi
Away
1.03
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingAlex Moreno above · Carlo Rossi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 69 set 4, 5-11
69 points played in total.
H2H Alex Moreno 0–1 Carlo Rossi Alex Moreno has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Rossi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rossi form (40%) is below what odds imply (97%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoreno 10.00 / Rossi 1.03
Signal prob.9% / 91%
Edge (Rossi)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12216703
Moreno10.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Rossi1.03
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMoreno0wins
AwayRossi1wins
Rossi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMorenoRossiM − RBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match33.042.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMorenoRossiBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 90 vs 5 / 814.4%62.5%13 / 90 vs 5 / 8Avg sets wonper match0.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match28.236.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RossiMoreno 10.00/Rossi 1.03
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90.7%
Rossi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rossi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 25 · 07:30A. Moreno—491191C. Rossi—11119113
A. Moreno10
LAug 25 · 08:30A. Moreno1.73511571M. Kupfer2.0011911113WAug 25 · 06:30A. Moreno1.611111113J. Willeke2.208940LAug 24 · 16:00A. Moreno8.506650M. Danzer1.051111113LAug 24 · 12:30A. Moreno6.00811961M. Henninger1.1111611113LAug 24 · 11:00A. Moreno7.507760V. Yefimov1.071111113WAug 24 · 08:30P. Koloidenko1.08167111162A. Moreno7.00181196113LAug 24 · 07:00A. Moreno—861161E. Huzsvar—11115113LAug 21 · 08:15S. Almeida1.401111113A. Moreno2.767590LAug 20 · 16:30E. Huzsvar—11115113A. Moreno—581171LAug 20 · 15:30A. Moreno15.009510D. Rinderer1.011111113
C. Rossi10
LJul 14 · 06:30I. Bertrand1.11111111113C. Rossi6.00581361LJul 13 · 16:30A. Itagaki4.501111113C. Rossi1.179890LJul 13 · 15:00V. Yefimov1.5711126113C. Rossi2.255101171WJul 13 · 13:30C. Rossi—91111113M. Stefanidis—112761LJul 13 · 11:30C. Rossi2.38156891O. Kosolosky1.53131111113WJul 13 · 10:00C. Rossi1.1011911113L. Carrillo6.50911561WMay 26 · 10:43E. Mendes2.254111371C. Rossi1.5711615113LMay 26 · 09:45C. Rossi1.3012101111J. Loffler3.4014126113WMay 26 · 07:30C. Rossi1.5711118113L. Qiu2.25651191LMay 25 · 16:30C. Rossi1.2211411542J. Loffler4.00811811113
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