TT Lossbeater/WTT United States Smash
WTT United States SmashMatch #12115343
Played Jun 28Finished
Felix Lebrun
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191210116––––
Cheng-Jui Kao
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingFelix Lebrun above · Cheng-Jui Kao below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 59 set 3, 11-6
59 points played in total.
H2H Felix Lebrun 1–0 Cheng-Jui Kao Cheng-Jui Kao has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Lebrun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kao form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebrun 1.25 / Kao 3.75
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Lebrun)+0.0pp
WTT United States Smash · #12115343
Lebrun1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Kao3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLebrun1wins
AwayKao0wins
Lebrun leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLebrunKaoL − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.025.0+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebrunKaoBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 4 / 1070%40%7 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebrunLebrun 1.25/Kao 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Lebrun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lebrun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJun 28 · 19:00F. Lebrun—1112113C. Kao—91060
F. Lebrun10
WAug 16 · 17:00F. Lebrun1.831111511104T. Harimoto1.835811991WAug 16 · 12:15D. Jorgic4.3355850F. Lebrun1.20111111114WAug 15 · 19:15F. Lebrun1.441611811114H. Calderano2.6314711451WAug 14 · 18:05F. Lebrun1.171111103T. Poret4.502440WAug 13 · 17:10F. Lebrun1.10111193G. Park6.509840WAug 12 · 10:35F. Lebrun1.0311118113E. Ionescu10.00451141LAug 8 · 08:30H. Shinozuka4.00812119114F. Lebrun1.22111081172WAug 6 · 05:00B. Duda4.509690F. Lebrun1.171111113WAug 4 · 02:00F. Coton4.504750F. Lebrun1.171111113LJul 5 · 20:30S. Matsushima1.9612111012124F. Lebrun1.701071210101
C. Kao10
LAug 9 · 19:40C. Kao1.50111071192A. Robles2.40712117113LAug 9 · 17:20C. Kao1.28111071192A. Robles3.50712117113WAug 9 · 15:35C. Kao1.26111159113M. Badowski3.5078111112WAug 9 · 10:20C. Kao1.28111159113M. Badowski3.5078111112WAug 8 · 13:35C. Kao1.08121183M. Friis7.0010890WJun 28 · 02:50C. Kao2.639111213113F. Xue1.44114101572WJun 27 · 18:45C. Kao1.1311115113L. Iizuka5.50861191LSep 29 · 10:55T. Moregard1.4011411113C. Kao2.75311651LSep 9 · 07:10S. Lin1.061111113C. Kao8.005440LAug 18 · 11:45D. Cho1.8311116113C. Kao1.83741191
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