TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden QualsMatch #12379618
Played Aug 8Finished
Cheng-Jui Kao
Home
1.08
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
121011889––––
Martin Friis
Away
7.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched — 83.0% is still 83.0%
Graded at full timeCheng-Jui Kao to win
83.0%
83.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingCheng-Jui Kao above · Martin Friis below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-9
Point 58 set 3, 8-9 — our read held Cheng-Jui Kao at 83.0%
58 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:57What took a side1 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.08 (87%)
Kao
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Kao 40% vs Friis 60%
Friis
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kao 40% vs Friis 60%
Friis
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kao -1 · Friis -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Kao) · live re-read · sealed at 83% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Friis form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (14%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKao 1.08 / Friis 7.00
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Kao)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals · #12379618
Kao1.08
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Friis7.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
78%takes the first set · 7 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaoFriisBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 6 / 1040%60%4 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaoKao 1.08/Friis 7.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
86.6%
Kao · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kao won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
C. Kao10
LAug 9 · 19:40C. Kao1.50111071192A. Robles2.40712117113LAug 9 · 17:20C. Kao1.28111071192A. Robles3.50712117113WAug 9 · 15:35C. Kao1.26111159113M. Badowski3.5078111112WAug 9 · 10:20C. Kao1.28111159113M. Badowski3.5078111112LJun 28 · 19:00F. Lebrun1.251112113C. Kao3.7591060WJun 28 · 02:50C. Kao2.639111213113F. Xue1.44114101572WJun 27 · 18:45C. Kao1.1311115113L. Iizuka5.50861191LSep 29 · 10:55T. Moregard1.4011411113C. Kao2.75311651LSep 9 · 07:10S. Lin1.061111113C. Kao8.005440LAug 18 · 11:45D. Cho1.8311116113C. Kao1.83741191
M. Friis10
LMar 25 · 18:45M. Mutti1.481111113M. Friis2.427850WMar 24 · 15:35P. Jain1.5071250M. Friis2.251114103WMar 24 · 09:35R. Chambet-Weil4.5053120M. Friis1.171111143LJan 29 · 11:55W. Verdonschot1.2581111113M. Friis3.75115711WJan 28 · 17:00M. Friis2.501111114113J. Piccolin1.5031381162WJan 28 · 12:55M. Friis—111113113I. Hencl—8131141WJan 27 · 18:30M. Friis—1111113C. Kramer—7480WJan 27 · 13:15M. Friis—1111113L. Campino—5990LNov 29 · 15:55A. Istrate—3M. Friis—2LAug 18 · 16:25S. Matsushima1.07121110113M. Friis7.501051261
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