TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Joon Shim vs Kirill Fadeev 3-1 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Jun 25Finished
Joon Shim
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118115211119––
Kirill Fadeev
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
How it is goingJoon Shim above · Kirill Fadeev below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 68 set 4, 11-9
68 points played in total.
H2H Joon Shim 2–2 Kirill Fadeev Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Fadeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fadeev form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShim 2.25 / Fadeev 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Fadeev)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12088011
Shim2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Fadeev1.57
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeShim2wins
AwayFadeev2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shim2Fadeev2n = 4split evenly
S2Shim2Fadeev2n = 4split evenly
S3Shim1Fadeev3n = 4Fadeev took 3 of 4
S4Shim2Fadeev2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricShimFadeevS − FBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match39.838.0+1.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShimFadeevBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 94 vs 150 / 20657.5%72.8%54 / 94 vs 150 / 206Avg sets wonper match2.02.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FadeevShim 2.25/Fadeev 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Fadeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Shim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJun 25 · 07:00J. Shim3511112113K. Fadeev33851191
LMar 23 · 15:30J. Shim391169131K. Fadeev4471111153
WSep 15 · 17:00J. Shim518101111113K. Fadeev3411122452
LApr 21 · 17:30J. Shim34711791K. Fadeev4111811113
J. Shim10
LJul 21 · 21:10J. Shim—111150B. Haug—1313113WJul 21 · 14:00G. Slezynger—8570J. Shim—1111113LJun 30 · 10:40J. Shim2.008990D. Rinderer1.701111113LJun 30 · 09:13J. Shim1.838790K. Fadeev1.831111113WJun 30 · 07:30L. Kraus4.505650J. Shim1.171111113WJun 29 · 17:30J. Shim1.5021211113A. Itagaki2.501110991WJun 29 · 16:00O. Kosolosky1.536480J. Shim2.381111113LJun 29 · 14:00D. Rinderer1.671111123J. Shim2.1096100WJun 29 · 12:00J. Shim2.101111153K. Fadeev1.6778130WJun 29 · 09:30J. Shim1.40119118113S. Carrillo2.7561181142
K. Fadeev10
WSep 8 · 10:39K. Fadeev3.401111126113R. Turrini1.30134101192LSep 8 · 09:15K. Fadeev1.25117117122V. Senkbeil3.75911611143WSep 8 · 06:30R. Turrini1.201211471K. Fadeev4.3314811113WSep 7 · 16:30M. Henninger2.0061250K. Fadeev1.731114113WSep 7 · 15:00M. Stefanidis—761171K. Fadeev—11117113WSep 7 · 13:30K. Fadeev—15211113S. Almeida—1311481WSep 7 · 11:30K. Fadeev1.361111113V. Senkbeil3.008490WSep 7 · 10:00K. Fadeev1.0311118113C. Schmitt10.00491161WJun 30 · 09:13J. Shim1.838790K. Fadeev1.831111113LJun 29 · 12:00J. Shim2.101111153K. Fadeev1.6778130
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