TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #11960138
Played May 29Finished
Dominik Muller
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–4Last 8Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411711119811––
Patrik Sturma
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDominik Muller above · Patrik Sturma below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11
72 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Muller)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sturma form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMuller 1.80 / Sturma 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Muller)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #11960138
Muller1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Sturma1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 105 of 201
Down 0–1, comes back42% 39 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMullerSturmaBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 270 / 54850%49.3%5 / 10 vs 270 / 548Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MullerMuller 1.80/Sturma 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Muller · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sturma won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Muller10
LMay 29 · 16:45J. Sindler1.6112118113D. Muller2.201051161LMay 29 · 15:40D. Muller1.6791114842J. Sindler2.101191211113LMay 29 · 14:40D. Muller1.836520J. Jnr1.831111113WFeb 13 · 13:45T. Ogrocki—11961162D. Muller—511116113LFeb 13 · 13:15O. Vaclahovsky—13117113D. Muller—1181141LFeb 13 · 12:15D. Muller1.599770T. Ogrocki2.171111113LFeb 13 · 10:45O. Kus—1111113D. Muller—5370LDec 26 · 14:20D. Muller—115131172D. Filko—1311118113WDec 26 · 13:10D. Muller1.8611117143M. Kocur1.813811121WDec 26 · 11:40J. Sindler2.009118101D. Muller1.7211411123
P. Sturma10
LSep 2 · 13:15P. Sturma1.531061171Z. Chovancik2.3812117113WSep 2 · 11:40P. Sturma2.10511811113F. Mandrysz1.6711511692WSep 2 · 10:40P. Sturma1.73511611143Z. Chovancik2.00114118122WSep 2 · 09:40P. Sturma1.83811911113R. Zajac1.8311711962LSep 1 · 17:15P. Sturma—3790J. Matus—1111113WSep 1 · 16:15P. Sturma1.9191211113J. Matus1.801110851WSep 1 · 14:45J. Jnr2.2012750P. Sturma1.611411113WSep 1 · 14:15L. Jr1.53731161P. Sturma2.3811115113LAug 30 · 17:10J. Sindler1.531111113P. Sturma2.389930WAug 30 · 15:40J. Sindler1.83913971P. Sturma1.83111111113
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