TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11938235
Played May 25Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119611118116––
Lukas Krejcik
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Lukas Krejcik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6
73 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 2–1 Lukas Krejcik Lukas Krejcik has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Krejcik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejcik form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 1.91 / Krejcik 1.80
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Krejcik)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11938235
Holovatiuk1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 54 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 58
Krejcik1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 12 of 17
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it83% 10 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk2wins
AwayKrejcik1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderHolovatiuk leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk1Krejcik2n = 3Krejcik took 2 of 3
S2Holovatiuk2Krejcik1n = 3Holovatiuk took 2 of 3
S3Holovatiuk2Krejcik1n = 3Holovatiuk took 2 of 3
S4Holovatiuk3Krejcik0n = 3Holovatiuk took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricHolovatiukKrejcikH − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match43.039.3+3.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukKrejcikBasisWin rate · lifetime411 / 850 vs 44 / 7748.4%57.1%411 / 850 vs 44 / 77Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrejcikHolovatiuk 1.91/Krejcik 1.80
Miss
What we said
58.5%
Krejcik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMay 11 · 08:00Y. Holovatiuk—3L. Krejcik—1
WMar 23 · 08:30Y. Holovatiuk—3L. Krejcik—1
LJan 12 · 15:00Y. Holovatiuk—2L. Krejcik—3
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123LSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131
L. Krejcik10
LMay 26 · 21:00L. Krticka1.731111113L. Krejcik2.008760LMay 26 · 20:00T. Vinter1.531111113L. Krejcik2.389960LMay 26 · 19:00L. Krticka1.6791111133L. Krejcik2.101186111LMay 26 · 18:30L. Krejcik2.20119651F. Just1.6181111113WMay 25 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk2.508840L. Krejcik1.501111113LMay 25 · 20:00L. Krejcik1.801191191T. Dousa1.9113119113LMay 25 · 18:00L. Krejcik1.838670L. Krok1.831111113LMay 22 · 21:01M. Volf1.401111113L. Krejcik2.757770LMay 22 · 20:00L. Krejcik2.008530M. Volf1.731111113LMay 22 · 19:30T. Janata1.73114128113L. Krejcik2.00711101182
Upcoming Matches
Y. Holovatiuk
L. Krejcik
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