TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Zholubak vs Dmytro Neborak 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played May 22Finished
Roman Zholubak
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1166111181210––
Dmytro Neborak
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingRoman Zholubak above · Dmytro Neborak below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 75 set 4, 12-10
75 points played in total.
H2H Roman Zholubak 41–11 Dmytro Neborak Dmytro Neborak has won 11 of their 52 meetings.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Zholubak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neborak form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZholubak 1.25 / Neborak 3.75
Signal prob.91% / 9%
Edge (Zholubak)+15.8pp
Setka Cup · #11925747
Zholubak1.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 78 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it84% 57 of 68
Neborak3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 99 of 331
Down 0–1, comes back17% 36 of 217
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZholubak9wins
AwayNeborak1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZholubak leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZholubak100%5 of 5
AwayNeborak20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zholubak5Neborak5n = 10split evenly
S2Zholubak5Neborak5n = 10split evenly
S3Zholubak8Neborak2n = 10Zholubak took 8 of 10
S4Zholubak6Neborak2n = 8Zholubak took 6 of 8
S5Zholubak4Neborak0n = 4Zholubak took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZholubakNeborakZ − NBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.835.2+7.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZholubakNeborakBasisWin rate · lifetime502 / 1266 vs 390 / 99839.7%39.1%502 / 1266 vs 390 / 998Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.135.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZholubakZholubak 1.25/Neborak 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90.8%
Zholubak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zholubak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 30 · 14:40R. Zholubak—3D. Neborak—2
WMar 14 · 09:20R. Zholubak—3D. Neborak—1
WMar 13 · 15:50R. Zholubak—3D. Neborak—2
WMar 7 · 07:20R. Zholubak—3D. Neborak—2
WMar 6 · 19:20R. Zholubak—3D. Neborak—0
WFeb 28 · 12:40R. Zholubak—3D. Neborak—0
LFeb 28 · 10:20R. Zholubak—1D. Neborak—3
WFeb 27 · 18:20R. Zholubak—3D. Neborak—1
WFeb 21 · 07:50R. Zholubak—3D. Neborak—1
WFeb 14 · 09:20R. Zholubak—3D. Neborak—2
R. Zholubak10
LMay 29 · 12:20R. Zholubak3.408860V. Levshyn1.301111113LMay 29 · 10:20B. Kohut1.831111113R. Zholubak1.837260LMay 29 · 09:20R. Zholubak3.256940A. Molochko1.331111113WMay 29 · 08:20A. Grebeniuk1.13111181092R. Zholubak5.50681112113LMay 29 · 06:50R. Zholubak3.75146251N. Danyliuk1.25121111113LMay 28 · 21:20R. Zholubak3.75613128102N. Danyliuk1.2511111011123WMay 28 · 19:20A. Molochko1.36116119102R. Zholubak3.00811511123WMay 28 · 18:20R. Zholubak5.50112114113A. Grebeniuk1.1371171182LMay 28 · 17:20B. Kohut1.801113119113R. Zholubak1.9181581142WMay 28 · 15:50R. Zholubak3.25912811113V. Levshyn1.33111011942
D. Neborak10
LSep 22 · 10:35D. Neborak4.00891481I. Kozachuk1.22111112113LSep 22 · 09:05D. Neborak3.757930D. Pesternikov1.251111113WSep 22 · 07:35D. Neborak3.0061111133S. Rak1.361148111WSep 22 · 06:05D. Neborak3.0011711113D. Shcherbak1.36511891LSep 22 · 04:35D. Neborak1.73124891I. Romaniak2.00101111113WSep 21 · 18:35D. Pesternikov1.17811781D. Neborak4.5011911113WSep 21 · 17:35I. Romaniak1.83142120D. Neborak1.831611143LSep 21 · 16:05I. Kozachuk1.28111168113D. Neborak3.5099111192WSep 21 · 14:05S. Rak1.366711121D. Neborak3.0011115143LSep 21 · 12:05D. Shcherbak1.501111113D. Neborak2.507570
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