TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #11909832
Played May 18Finished
Patrik Sturma
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1311811911115611
Dusan Cecotka
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingPatrik Sturma above · Dusan Cecotka below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 96 set 5, 6-11
96 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Sturma 37–32 Dusan Cecotka Dusan Cecotka has won 32 of their 69 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sturma)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sturma form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSturma 1.73 / Cecotka 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sturma)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #11909832
Sturma1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Cecotka2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSturma6wins
AwayCecotka4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSturma leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSturma66.7%4 of 6
AwayCecotka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sturma6Cecotka4n = 10Sturma took 6 of 10
S2Sturma5Cecotka5n = 10split evenly
S3Sturma5Cecotka5n = 10split evenly
S4Sturma2Cecotka5n = 7Cecotka took 5 of 7
S5Sturma4Cecotka1n = 5Sturma took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSturmaCecotkaS − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.137.5+4.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSturmaCecotkaBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 519 vs 164 / 36448.8%45.1%253 / 519 vs 164 / 364Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.740.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SturmaSturma 1.73/Cecotka 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sturma · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Cecotka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 18 · 14:40P. Sturma—3D. Cecotka—2
WMay 11 · 16:15P. Sturma—3D. Cecotka—2
LMay 7 · 09:40P. Sturma—2D. Cecotka—3
LMay 6 · 15:15P. Sturma—1D. Cecotka—3
WMay 4 · 15:10P. Sturma—3D. Cecotka—2
WApr 29 · 14:15P. Sturma—3D. Cecotka—2
WApr 24 · 13:10P. Sturma—3D. Cecotka—0
LApr 24 · 12:10P. Sturma—1D. Cecotka—3
LApr 22 · 16:45P. Sturma—0D. Cecotka—3
WApr 22 · 15:15P. Sturma—3D. Cecotka—0
P. Sturma10
LSep 2 · 13:15P. Sturma1.531061171Z. Chovancik2.3812117113WSep 2 · 11:40P. Sturma2.10511811113F. Mandrysz1.6711511692WSep 2 · 10:40P. Sturma1.73511611143Z. Chovancik2.00114118122WSep 2 · 09:40P. Sturma1.83811911113R. Zajac1.8311711962LSep 1 · 17:15P. Sturma—3790J. Matus—1111113WSep 1 · 16:15P. Sturma1.9191211113J. Matus1.801110851WSep 1 · 14:45J. Jnr2.2012750P. Sturma1.611411113WSep 1 · 14:15L. Jr1.53731161P. Sturma2.3811115113LAug 30 · 17:10J. Sindler1.531111113P. Sturma2.389930WAug 30 · 15:40J. Sindler1.83913971P. Sturma1.83111111113
D. Cecotka10
LMay 18 · 16:10D. Cecotka1.809740M. Sobota1.911111113LMay 18 · 14:40P. Sturma1.73791111113D. Cecotka2.0011115532WMay 18 · 14:10J. Sindler2.00118991D. Cecotka1.7351111113WMay 14 · 16:50R. Sikora—3101161D. Cecotka—11127113LMay 14 · 16:15D. Cecotka1.77991191R. Sikora1.8611116113LMay 14 · 14:45J. Sevecek—119118113D. Cecotka—91141192LMay 14 · 14:15J. Sindler1.85111011113D. Cecotka1.79612381LMay 13 · 17:20D. Cecotka—136881R. Sikora—111111113WMay 13 · 16:15D. Cecotka—71111113R. Sikora—116581WMay 13 · 14:45L. Jr1.54151111792D. Cecotka2.211313811113
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