TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #11907342
Played May 18Finished
Patrik Sturma
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1513411118119––
Robert Sikora
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPatrik Sturma above · Robert Sikora below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 82 set 4, 11-9
82 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Sturma 19–17 Robert Sikora Robert Sikora has won 17 of their 36 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sturma)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikora form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSturma 1.80 / Sikora 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sturma)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #11907342
Sturma1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Sikora1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSturma5wins
AwaySikora5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSturma62.5%5 of 8
AwaySikoran = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sturma8Sikora2n = 10Sturma took 8 of 10
S2Sturma6Sikora4n = 10Sturma took 6 of 10
S3Sturma4Sikora6n = 10Sikora took 6 of 10
S4Sturma2Sikora4n = 6Sikora took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSturmaSikoraSturma − SikoraBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.733.3+2.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSturmaSikoraBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 520 vs 130 / 27148.7%48%253 / 520 vs 130 / 271Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SturmaSturma 1.80/Sikora 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sturma · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sturma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 16 · 12:45P. Sturma—1R. Sikora—3
WMay 16 · 12:10P. Sturma—3R. Sikora—1
WMay 7 · 12:45P. Sturma—3R. Sikora—0
WMay 7 · 11:40P. Sturma—3R. Sikora—1
LMay 4 · 20:38P. Sturma—1R. Sikora—3
WMay 4 · 20:10P. Sturma—3R. Sikora—0
LApr 29 · 20:10P. Sturma—1R. Sikora—3
LApr 28 · 20:15P. Sturma—0R. Sikora—3
WApr 24 · 11:10P. Sturma—3R. Sikora—0
LApr 21 · 16:39P. Sturma—2R. Sikora—3
P. Sturma10
LSep 2 · 13:15P. Sturma1.531061171Z. Chovancik2.3812117113WSep 2 · 11:40P. Sturma2.10511811113F. Mandrysz1.6711511692WSep 2 · 10:40P. Sturma1.73511611143Z. Chovancik2.00114118122WSep 2 · 09:40P. Sturma1.83811911113R. Zajac1.8311711962LSep 1 · 17:15P. Sturma—3790J. Matus—1111113WSep 1 · 16:15P. Sturma1.9191211113J. Matus1.801110851WSep 1 · 14:45J. Jnr2.2012750P. Sturma1.611411113WSep 1 · 14:15L. Jr1.53731161P. Sturma2.3811115113LAug 30 · 17:10J. Sindler1.531111113P. Sturma2.389930WAug 30 · 15:40J. Sindler1.83913971P. Sturma1.83111111113
R. Sikora10
WMay 18 · 21:15P. Sturma1.8388110R. Sikora1.831111133WMay 18 · 20:10R. Sikora1.441313113M. Zika2.63111160LMay 18 · 18:40L. Jr1.73112118113R. Sikora2.00111061172WMay 16 · 12:45P. Sturma—1188101R. Sikora—71111123LMay 16 · 12:10P. Sturma1.6313711113R. Sikora2.051111691LMay 16 · 11:10R. Sikora2.36812571J. Jnr1.48111011113LMay 16 · 09:40R. Jancak—111110133R. Sikora—6812111LMay 14 · 16:50R. Sikora—3101161D. Cecotka—11127113WMay 14 · 16:15D. Cecotka1.77991191R. Sikora1.8611116113LMay 14 · 15:15R. Sikora—7101181J. Sindler—11126113
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