TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Rafael Turrini vs Marcelo Aguirre 1-3 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played May 11Finished
Rafael Turrini
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1816611811411––
Marcelo Aguirre
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingRafael Turrini above · Marcelo Aguirre below
Set 1 · 18-16
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 85 set 4, 4-11
85 points played in total.
H2H Rafael Turrini 0–1 Marcelo Aguirre Rafael Turrini has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Aguirre)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Aguirre form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTurrini 2.63 / Aguirre 1.44
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Aguirre)-6.3pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11870523
Turrini2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Aguirre1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTurrini0wins
AwayAguirre1wins
Aguirre leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTurriniAguirreT − ABasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match36.049.0−13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTurriniAguirreBasisWin rate · lifetime244 / 288 vs 15 / 1684.7%93.8%244 / 288 vs 15 / 16Avg sets wonper match2.72.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AguirreTurrini 2.63/Aguirre 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.2%
Aguirre · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Aguirre won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 11 · 07:30R. Turrini—1M. Aguirre—3
R. Turrini10
WSep 22 · 11:00O. Kosolosky—11118792R. Turrini—391111113WSep 22 · 09:45R. Turrini1.401111113M. Stefanidis2.753930WSep 22 · 08:00A. Moreno10.50510120R. Turrini1.021112143LSep 22 · 07:00R. Turrini1.1149100K. Zimmermann6.001111123WSep 21 · 15:30C. Schmitt15.001186131R. Turrini1.0191111153WSep 21 · 13:30M. Stefanidis1.83711641R. Turrini1.8911611113WSep 21 · 12:00S. Happek15.00541591R. Turrini1.01111113113WSep 21 · 09:00S. Almeida2.59861171R. Turrini1.4511119113WSep 21 · 07:00O. Kosolosky6.50951181R. Turrini1.1011117113LSep 8 · 10:39K. Fadeev3.401111126113R. Turrini1.30134101192
M. Aguirre10
LJul 12 · 14:45M. Aguirre1.57111111472A. Kouraichi2.25136811113WJul 11 · 22:25M. Aguirre1.47611115113I. Diaw2.3811891172WJul 11 · 16:55N. Tauler3.75911611122M. Aguirre1.25118117143WJul 10 · 15:55M. Aguirre1.071111611113F. Arado7.5013511552WMay 12 · 11:00M. Aguirre1.2211118113E. Mendes4.00851181WMay 12 · 09:15M. Aguirre1.521111113G. Alcayde2.357550WMay 12 · 08:30Y. Batix4.505580M. Aguirre1.171111113WMay 11 · 17:00N. Kizakisz10.00591141M. Aguirre1.0311119113WMay 11 · 15:30M. Aguirre1.1711811153G. Alcayde4.507117131WMay 11 · 13:00M. Aguirre—1111113E. Huzsvar—9830
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