TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Rafael Turrini vs Raegan Albuquerque 2-3 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Apr 21Finished
Rafael Turrini
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118711811117811
Raegan Albuquerque
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingRafael Turrini above · Raegan Albuquerque below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 93 set 5, 8-11
93 points played in total.
H2H Rafael Turrini 1–1 Raegan Albuquerque Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Turrini)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Albuquerque form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTurrini 1.44 / Albuquerque 2.63
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Turrini)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11771381
Turrini1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Albuquerque2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeTurrini1wins
AwayAlbuquerque1wins
Level at 1–1.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricTurriniAlbuquerqueT − ABasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match43.042.5+0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTurriniAlbuquerqueBasisWin rate · lifetime305 / 393 vs 10 / 1777.6%58.8%305 / 393 vs 10 / 17Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.234.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TurriniTurrini 1.44/Albuquerque 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Turrini · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Albuquerque won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
L—R. Turrini—1R. Albuquerque—3
W—R. Turrini—3R. Albuquerque—2
R. Turrini10
WSep 22 · 11:00O. Kosolosky—11118792R. Turrini—391111113WSep 22 · 09:45R. Turrini1.401111113M. Stefanidis2.753930WSep 22 · 08:00A. Moreno10.50510120R. Turrini1.021112143LSep 22 · 07:00R. Turrini1.1149100K. Zimmermann6.001111123WSep 21 · 15:30C. Schmitt15.001186131R. Turrini1.0191111153WSep 21 · 13:30M. Stefanidis1.83711641R. Turrini1.8911611113WSep 21 · 12:00S. Happek15.00541591R. Turrini1.01111113113WSep 21 · 09:00S. Almeida2.59861171R. Turrini1.4511119113WSep 21 · 07:00O. Kosolosky6.50951181R. Turrini1.1011117113LSep 8 · 10:39K. Fadeev3.401111126113R. Turrini1.30134101192
R. Albuquerque10
LApr 28 · 10:00F. Bluhm1.281111113R. Albuquerque3.506380WApr 28 · 09:45R. Albuquerque1.131111113L. Kraus4.656840WApr 28 · 08:45R. Albuquerque1.141111113L. Kraus5.006840WApr 27 · 17:00J. Lama4.3381140R. Albuquerque1.201113113LApr 27 · 15:30R. Albuquerque3.004121181F. Bluhm1.3611149113WApr 27 · 13:00R. Albuquerque—91111163E. Huzsvar—1189141WApr 27 · 11:30L. Kraus5.501631331R. Albuquerque1.13181111113LApr 27 · 09:30M. Stefanidis—121186113R. Albuquerque—109111192WApr 27 · 07:30E. Valenet3.501081281R. Albuquerque1.28121110113LApr 21 · 11:00P. David2.50111115113R. Albuquerque1.501311391
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