TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Pylyp Koloidenko vs Jeromy Loffler 2-3 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Apr 14Finished
Pylyp Koloidenko
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117911511114911
Jeromy Loffler
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
How it is goingPylyp Koloidenko above · Jeromy Loffler below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 89 set 5, 9-11
89 points played in total.
H2H Pylyp Koloidenko 1–3 Jeromy Loffler Pylyp Koloidenko has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Loffler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loffler form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoloidenko 3.75 / Loffler 1.25
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Loffler)+2.3pp
Challenger Series TT · #11738913
Koloidenko3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Loffler1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKoloidenko1wins
AwayLoffler3wins
Loffler leads 3–1.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koloidenko1Loffler3n = 4Loffler took 3 of 4
S2Koloidenko2Loffler2n = 4split evenly
S3Koloidenko1Loffler3n = 4Loffler took 3 of 4
S4Koloidenko1Loffler2n = 3Loffler took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKoloidenkoLofflerK − LBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match29.537.2−7.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoloidenkoLofflerBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 229 vs 78 / 13830.6%56.5%70 / 229 vs 78 / 138Avg sets wonper match1.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match32.535.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LofflerKoloidenko 3.75/Loffler 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.3%
Loffler · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Loffler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
W—P. Koloidenko—3J. Loffler—1
L—P. Koloidenko—0J. Loffler—3
L—P. Koloidenko—1J. Loffler—3
L—P. Koloidenko—1J. Loffler—3
P. Koloidenko10
LAug 25 · 08:00P. Koloidenko5.106560E. Huzsvar1.121111113WAug 24 · 17:00P. Koloidenko2.001111113M. Kupfer1.736950WAug 24 · 15:00P. Koloidenko2.00471611123J. Willeke1.731111146102LAug 24 · 14:00P. Koloidenko8.001111181M. Danzer1.0611139113LAug 24 · 10:30P. Koloidenko4.50611771M. Henninger1.1711811113LAug 24 · 08:30P. Koloidenko1.08167111162A. Moreno7.00181196113LAug 24 · 06:30P. Koloidenko7.506770V. Yefimov1.071111113WApr 17 · 08:30P. Koloidenko1.081211113A. Moreno7.0010730LApr 17 · 06:30P. Koloidenko2.1011111131Y. Rebetez1.6713136113LApr 16 · 16:00P. Koloidenko7.5091351162D. Rinderer1.071111114113
J. Loffler10
LSep 18 · 10:45J. Loffler—8360L. Qiu—1111113LSep 18 · 09:15D. Rinderer—1113113J. Loffler—31140WSep 18 · 07:30D. Zech2.754640J. Loffler1.371111113LSep 17 · 17:30J. Loffler—11119752M. Scharrer—581111113LSep 17 · 16:00E. Mendes—81111113J. Loffler—115871LSep 17 · 14:00D. Rinderer—118118113J. Loffler—51131142WSep 17 · 12:00J. Loffler1.1811134113K. Zimmermann4.152111121WSep 17 · 09:30J. Loffler—1111113J. Harencak—5680WSep 17 · 08:00J. Loffler1.57114119113L. Qiu2.2071191152LSep 15 · 10:30E. Mendes—1111113J. Loffler—6550
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