TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Tibor Spanik vs Piotr Chodorski 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Mar 31Finished
Tibor Spanik
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113115711115––
Piotr Chodorski
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingTibor Spanik above · Piotr Chodorski below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 64 set 4, 11-5
64 points played in total.
H2H Tibor Spanik 5–1 Piotr Chodorski Piotr Chodorski has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Spanik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chodorski form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSpanik 1.83 / Chodorski 1.83
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Spanik)+18.6pp
TT Elite Series · #11671618
Spanik1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Chodorski1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSpanik5wins
AwayChodorski1wins
Spanik leads 5–1.
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Spanik4Chodorski2n = 6Spanik took 4 of 6
S2Spanik5Chodorski1n = 6Spanik took 5 of 6
S3Spanik4Chodorski2n = 6Spanik took 4 of 6
S4Spanik1Chodorski3n = 4Chodorski took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSpanikChodorskiS − CBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match37.530.7+6.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSpanikChodorskiBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 144 vs 416 / 86148.6%48.3%70 / 144 vs 416 / 861Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.135.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SpanikSpanik 1.83/Chodorski 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.6%
Spanik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Spanik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
W—T. Spanik—3P. Chodorski—1
W—T. Spanik—2P. Chodorski—3
L—T. Spanik—3P. Chodorski—1
W—T. Spanik—0P. Chodorski—3
W—T. Spanik—3P. Chodorski—2
W—T. Spanik—3P. Chodorski—0
T. Spanik10
LSep 15 · 14:35M. Olejnik1.73131412113T. Spanik2.0015121071LSep 15 · 13:20T. Spanik1.67111191262J. Braun2.101391110113LSep 15 · 12:05M. Jadczyk2.00111158113T. Spanik1.7388111152WSep 15 · 10:50K. Strowski2.00101090T. Spanik1.731212113WSep 15 · 09:20A. Wiecek2.2511168111T. Spanik1.57131411133LSep 15 · 07:45T. Spanik2.209680M. Olejnik1.611111113LSep 15 · 06:30T. Spanik1.67411140J. Braun2.101113163LSep 15 · 05:15T. Spanik1.571199191M. Miastowski2.2581111213LSep 15 · 04:10A. Wiecek2.0011815113T. Spanik1.736111361LSep 15 · 03:25T. Spanik1.73127861K. Strowski2.00101111113
P. Chodorski10
LSep 2 · 16:40P. Chodorski1.4484111152R. Formela2.6311116363WAug 30 · 17:30P. Chodorski—71111113F. Wetzel—114371WAug 29 · 17:00A. Stalzer—5990P. Chodorski—1111113WAug 28 · 17:39J. Cavaille1.6131181142P. Chodorski2.2011511363LApr 12 · 12:33P. Chodorski2.2510118131M. Zalewski1.5712211153LApr 1 · 11:35P. Chodorski1.7300J. Braun2.0050LApr 1 · 10:45A. Wiecek1.611111113P. Chodorski2.207760LApr 1 · 09:35K. Petas1.911111113P. Chodorski1.808680WApr 1 · 08:25P. Chodorski1.8313119163A. Wiecek1.8311711141LApr 1 · 07:15M. Olejnik1.361111113P. Chodorski3.004830
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