Lubos Krticka vs Radim Pavelka · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec

Starts Oct 13, 18:30Scheduled

Lubos Krticka

Home

1.43

At publish

Lost last 1

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Head to head

15 – 4

All 19 meetings · 78.9%

Last 10 · 7–3Same side

Radim Pavelka

Away

2.60

At publish

Won last 3

6–4Last 10Won last 3

Radim Pavelka arrives on a run of 3 straight wins.

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Price verdict

Caution

Lubos Krticka at 1.43

The favourite carries a measured weakness the price does not charge for.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKrticka 1.43 / Pavelka 2.60

Round robin · match 2 of 6

0 of 6 played

A12 · Liberec · Group 13 of 22 on the day's ladder

Round robin before this match

Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.

#	Player	W–L	Sets	To play
=	Jaroslav Prokupek	0–0	0–0	3
=	Kyryl Darin	0–0	0–0	3
=	Lubos KrtickaThis match	0–0	0–0	3
=	Radim PavelkaThis match	0–0	0–0	3

Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKrticka7wins

AwayPavelka3wins

1 of 10 to a deciderKrticka leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKrticka100%7 of 7

AwayPavelka100%3 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Krticka7Pavelka3n = 10Krticka took 7 of 10

S2Krticka7Pavelka3n = 10Krticka took 7 of 10

S3Krticka7Pavelka3n = 10Krticka took 7 of 10

S4Krticka2Pavelka4n = 6Pavelka took 4 of 6

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home440%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricKrtickaPavelkaK − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.334.4+2.9per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKrtickaPavelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 188 vs 451 / 89148.4%50.6%91 / 188 vs 451 / 891Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.1per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13283871

Krticka1.43

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 16 days ago (Sep 27) · back after a break

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite56% won 18 of 32

Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8

Up 1–0, closes it82% 14 of 17

Pavelka2.60

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 11)

Won last 3

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog40% won 64 of 161

Down 0–1, comes back24% 21 of 89

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 44

Lubos Krticka vs Radim Pavelka · Czech Liga Pro

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 2 of 6

Round robin before this match

Lubos Krticka vs Radim Pavelka · Czech Liga Pro

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 2 of 6

Round robin before this match