Tomas Trnka vs Milan Flesar · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupHall 43 - B3 · Prague

Starts 16:05Scheduled

Tomas Trnka

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 2

8–2Last 10Won last 2

Head to head

1 – 2

All 3 meetings · 33.3%

Last 3 · 1–2Same side

Milan Flesar

Away

2.10

At publish

Lost last 1

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Compare players

Price verdict

No edge

The price already says it

Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsTrnka 1.666 / Flesar 2.10

Round robin · match 5 of 6

3 of 6 played

Hall 43 - B3 · Prague · Group 7 of 14 on the day's ladder

Round robin before this match

Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.

#	Player	W–L	Sets	To play
1	Tomas TrnkaThis match	2–0	6–1	1
2	Jan Manhal Jr	1–1	4–5	1
3	Milan FlesarThis match	0–1	2–3	2
4	Lubomir Vana	0–1	0–3	2

Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 3 meetings

HomeTrnka1wins

AwayFlesar2wins

Flesar leads 2–1.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Trnka1Flesar2n = 3Flesar took 2 of 3

S2Trnka1Flesar2n = 3Flesar took 2 of 3

S3Trnka1Flesar2n = 3Flesar took 2 of 3

How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home133%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away267%

These 3 meetings

MetricTrnkaFlesarT − FBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match23.732.0−8.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricTrnkaFlesarBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 309 vs 256 / 48852.8%52.5%163 / 309 vs 256 / 488Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.9per match

TT Cup · #13283448

Trnka1.67

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite70% won 76 of 108

Up 2–0, closes it98% 40 of 41

Up 1–0, closes it85% 57 of 67

Flesar2.10

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As underdog42% won 66 of 156

Down 0–1, comes back20% 19 of 94

Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 65

Tomas Trnka vs Milan Flesar · TT Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 5 of 6

Round robin before this match

Tomas Trnka vs Milan Flesar · TT Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 5 of 6

Round robin before this match