Tomas Trnka vs Jan Manhal Jr 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupHall 43 - B3 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Tomas Trnka

Home

1.33

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

10121210112113––

Jan Manhal Jr

Away

3.25

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:56 and never touched: 73.7% is still 73.7%

Graded at full time

Tomas Trnka to win

73.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingTomas Trnka above · Jan Manhal Jr below

Set 1 · 10-12

Set 2 · 12-10

Set 3 · 11-2

Set 4 · 11-3

Point 71 set 4, 11-3 · our read held Tomas Trnka at 73.7%

71 points played in total.

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Trnka

Trnka 1.33/Manhal Jr 3.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

73.7%

Trnka · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Trnka won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 14:56

73.7%Our read75.0%to break even at 1.333

short by 1.3pp

75.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.333 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.33 (71%)

Trnka

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Trnka 1655 vs Manhal Jr 1464

Trnka

Correct

both rated, 192 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Trnka 80% vs Manhal Jr 20%

Trnka

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Trnka 80% vs Manhal Jr 50%

Trnka

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Trnka +2 · Manhal Jr -4

Manhal Jr

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 74% · Strong (leans Trnka) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Manhal Jr: form 20%, the price implies 31%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsTrnka 1.333 / Manhal Jr 3.25

Signal prob.74% / 26%

Edge (Trnka)-1.3pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricTrnkaManhal JrBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 309 vs 37 / 8352.8%44.6%163 / 309 vs 37 / 83Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.8per match

TT Cup · #13283420

Trnka1.33

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite70% won 76 of 108

Up 2–0, closes it98% 40 of 41

Up 1–0, closes it85% 57 of 67

Manhal Jr3.25

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 6 days ago (Oct 06)

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog41% won 17 of 42

Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13

Tomas Trnka vs Jan Manhal Jr 3-1 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Tomas Trnka vs Jan Manhal Jr 3-1 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.