TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Manhal Jr vs Tomas Motacek 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114117115––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJan Manhal Jr above · Tomas Motacek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 49 set 3, 11-5
49 points played in total.
H2H Jan Manhal Jr 2–0 Tomas Motacek Tomas Motacek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.67 / Motacek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Jr)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13195997
Jr1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite42% won 11 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it60% 6 of 10
Motacek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog55% won 12 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back33% 2 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeJr2wins
AwayMotacek0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderJr leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricJrMotacekJ − MBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match46.538.5+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrMotacekBasisWin rate · lifetime33 / 73 vs 27 / 5145.2%52.9%33 / 73 vs 27 / 51Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.67/Motacek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 25 · 16:05J. Jr4491113113T. Motacek381171191
WSep 12 · 11:35J. Jr49711911113T. Motacek3911611652
J. Jr10
WSep 25 · 16:05J. Jr1.6191113113T. Motacek2.201171191WSep 25 · 15:05J. Jr1.671111113L. Vana2.104870WSep 25 · 14:05J. Jr1.531141011113P. Pesout2.3871112682LSep 24 · 17:03P. Chvatal1.531113113J. Jr2.3841150LSep 24 · 16:35J. Jr2.387790J. Martin1.531111113LSep 24 · 15:05P. Chvatal1.53111013113J. Jr2.388121161WSep 24 · 14:35R. Neterda1.67811101182J. Jr2.10119127113LSep 21 · 17:55J. Jr2.256111071L. Vosyka1.5711512113WSep 21 · 16:35L. Vosyka1.57971181J. Jr2.2511116113LSep 21 · 15:35J. Jr2.10611691R. Neterda1.6711811113
T. Motacek10
LSep 25 · 16:05J. Jr1.6191113113T. Motacek2.201171191WSep 25 · 15:35P. Pesout2.253111171T. Motacek1.5711713113WSep 25 · 14:35T. Motacek1.67571311113L. Vana2.10111111472LSep 23 · 17:10T. Motacek1.83451171D. Hons1.8311119113LSep 23 · 16:35T. Motacek1.5051111992M. Chmelicek2.50113911113LSep 23 · 15:05P. Chvatal1.83611711113T. Motacek1.8311911692WSep 23 · 14:35D. Hons1.73119111062T. Motacek2.00611512113LSep 19 · 21:40D. Hons1.80119511143T. Motacek1.91711118122WSep 19 · 20:35M. Chmelicek2.7511124542T. Motacek1.405101111113LSep 19 · 19:35T. Motacek2.0012611942D. Hons1.731011511113
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