Tomas Nohejl vs Jaroslav Novotny 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA17 Hall · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Tomas Nohejl

Home

2.10

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 3

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

811117811117611

Jaroslav Novotny

Away

1.67

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:36 and never touched: 55.8% is still 55.8%

Graded at full time

Jaroslav Novotny to win

55.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

Sent to Pro: Jaroslav Novotny @ 1.67 · Won

How it is goingTomas Nohejl above · Jaroslav Novotny below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 11-7

Set 5 · 6-11

Point 91 set 5, 6-11 · our read held Jaroslav Novotny at 55.8%

91 points played in total.

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Novotny

Nohejl 2.10/Novotny 1.67

Hit

What we said

55.8%

Novotny · sealed before the serve

Sent to Pro: Jaroslav Novotny @ 1.67 · Won

What happened

2–3

Novotny won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

The pick

Sealed 11:36

Sent to Pro: Jaroslav Novotny @ 1.67 · Won

55.8%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666

short by 4.2pp

60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Novotny

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Nohejl 1382 vs Novotny 1392

Novotny

Correct

both rated, 10 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Nohejl 20% vs Novotny 20%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Nohejl 30% vs Novotny 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Nohejl -3 · Novotny -1

Nohejl

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.

Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Novotny) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Novotny: form 20%, the price implies 60%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsNohejl 2.10 / Novotny 1.666

Signal prob.44% / 56%

Edge (Novotny)-4.2pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricNohejlNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 224 vs 75 / 15254%49.3%121 / 224 vs 75 / 152Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.5per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13280307

Nohejl2.10

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

As underdog49% won 16 of 33

Down 0–1, comes back33% 8 of 24

Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10

Novotny1.67

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite59% won 26 of 44

Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5

Up 1–0, closes it67% 14 of 21

Tomas Nohejl vs Jaroslav Novotny 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Tomas Nohejl vs Jaroslav Novotny 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.