TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Tymofeev vs Andrey Troyan 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113911811––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:04 and never touched: 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Tymofeev above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 63 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Andrey Troyan at 59.3%
63 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Tymofeev 35–54 Andrey Troyan Oleksandr Tymofeev has won 35 of their 89 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:0459.3%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 4.4pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Troyan
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
35-54 in 89
Troyan
Correct
gap of 19 in 89, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tymofeev 1610 vs Troyan 1666
Troyan
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tymofeev 60% vs Troyan 20%
Tymofeev
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tymofeev 60% vs Troyan 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tymofeev +1 · Troyan +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Troyan) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Troyan form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTymofeev 2.25 / Troyan 1.571
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Troyan)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13270264
Tymofeev2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Oct 03) · back after a break
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 38 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back29% 16 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Troyan1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 183 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it92% 101 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it80% 141 of 177
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTymofeev5wins
AwayTroyan5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTymofeev75%3 of 4
AwayTroyan66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tymofeev4Troyan6n = 10Troyan took 6 of 10
S2Tymofeev2Troyan8n = 10Troyan took 8 of 10
S3Tymofeev6Troyan3n = 9Tymofeev took 6 of 9
S4Tymofeev1Troyan6n = 7Troyan took 6 of 7
S5Tymofeev5Troyan1n = 6Tymofeev took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTymofeevTroyanTymofeev − TroyanBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.445.0−4.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTymofeevTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime282 / 520 vs 479 / 98254.2%48.8%282 / 520 vs 479 / 982Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanTymofeev 2.25/Troyan 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LOct 10 · 06:05O. Tymofeev2811980A. Troyan351311113
WOct 1 · 05:00O. Tymofeev44411115133A. Troyan44119211112
WJul 11 · 12:05O. Tymofeev49145136113A. Troyan541211111192
LJul 7 · 11:10O. Tymofeev3811712352A. Troyan496111011113
WJun 20 · 11:35O. Tymofeev45115711113A. Troyan4571111792
LMay 26 · 15:40O. Tymofeev2121180A. Troyan351113113
LMay 12 · 14:10O. Tymofeev378101181A. Troyan4311129113
WMay 10 · 19:00O. Tymofeev52118117153A. Troyan49511911132
WApr 24 · 15:40O. Tymofeev50415119113A. Troyan51111381182
O. Tymofeev10
LOct 10 · 07:35I. Efimenko1.4011611113O. Tymofeev2.75511661WOct 3 · 11:30O. Tymofeev3.001111143V. Kryvenko1.3696120LOct 3 · 09:30I. Efimenko1.6791111133O. Tymofeev2.101155111WOct 3 · 07:30A. Lobanov2.0061050O. Tymofeev1.731112113WOct 3 · 06:30O. Tymofeev2.38817138113Y. Kovshun1.531115111192LOct 3 · 05:30V. Bilobrov1.301111113O. Tymofeev3.409560WOct 1 · 09:29O. Tymofeev2.25741111113S. Hryhorenko1.5711118872LOct 1 · 08:00S. Hryhorenko1.7311511113O. Tymofeev2.00511791WOct 1 · 07:00O. Tymofeev2.38711513113Y. Kovshun1.53114111142LOct 1 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.801110118113O. Tymofeev1.9181281192
A. Troyan10
LOct 10 · 07:05A. Troyan2.20611115132Y. Kovshun1.61116911153WOct 9 · 11:35V. Kolesnykov3.505490A. Troyan1.281111113LOct 9 · 10:35O. Karpenko2.63131144113A. Troyan1.44113111172LOct 9 · 09:05Y. Volkov1.73111115113A. Troyan2.001361311LOct 9 · 07:05Y. Kovshun1.53111199153A. Troyan2.38371111132LOct 9 · 05:05Y. Holoborodko1.5711115113A. Troyan2.25681141WOct 6 · 12:05S. Kyienko2.20811111172A. Troyan1.61111398113WOct 6 · 10:35A. Troyan2.381111113Y. Kovshun1.538970WOct 6 · 08:35V. Bilobrov3.407121091A. Troyan1.30111012113WOct 6 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.7331251242A. Troyan2.0011101110113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.