TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Roman Guliak vs Ivo Taichman 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA18 · Ostrava
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171171210––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:29 and never touched: 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeRoman Guliak to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Guliak above · Ivo Taichman below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 58 set 3, 12-10 · our read held Roman Guliak at 54.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Roman Guliak 25–22 Ivo Taichman Ivo Taichman has won 22 of their 47 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 07:2954.9%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 7.0pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Guliak
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
25-22 in 47
Guliak
Correct
gap of 3 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guliak 1366 vs Taichman 1416
Taichman
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guliak 0% vs Taichman 20%
Taichman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guliak 20% vs Taichman 40%
Taichman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guliak -6 · Taichman +1
Guliak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Guliak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Taichman form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuliak 1.615 / Taichman 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Guliak)-7.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13269475
Guliak1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 46 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it77% 33 of 43
Taichman2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 71 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back24% 22 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuliak7wins
AwayTaichman3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGuliak leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuliak75%6 of 8
AwayTaichmann = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guliak8Taichman2n = 10Guliak took 8 of 10
S2Guliak6Taichman4n = 10Guliak took 6 of 10
S3Guliak4Taichman6n = 10Taichman took 6 of 10
S4Guliak6Taichman1n = 7Guliak took 6 of 7
S5Guliak1Taichman2n = 3Taichman took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuliakTaichmanG − TBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.633.1+5.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuliakTaichmanBasisWin rate · lifetime339 / 689 vs 290 / 56749.2%51.2%339 / 689 vs 290 / 567Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GuliakGuliak 1.61/Taichman 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Guliak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Guliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 6 · 19:00R. Guliak331111113I. Taichman228860
WOct 5 · 18:00R. Guliak331111113I. Taichman186480
WOct 2 · 17:00R. Guliak46118511113I. Taichman4251111962
WOct 2 · 14:00R. Guliak4211119113I. Taichman21151141
WSep 26 · 06:00R. Guliak3951112113I. Taichman321171041
WSep 23 · 19:30R. Guliak4211119113I. Taichman27921151
LSep 18 · 16:30R. Guliak4712881182I. Taichman501011117113
LAug 8 · 12:30R. Guliak2711790I. Taichman351311113
LJun 25 · 19:00R. Guliak39124111022I. Taichman501011612113
WJun 20 · 15:30R. Guliak3813113113I. Taichman341161161
R. Guliak10
LOct 10 · 08:30R. Kvasnicka2.25941312143R. Guliak1.5711111110122LOct 10 · 06:30F. Zurek1.6711911113R. Guliak2.10711951LOct 8 · 20:59M. Jasek1.617111111113R. Guliak2.2011134582LOct 8 · 20:00R. Guliak2.1011410101A. Schneeberger1.6771112123LOct 8 · 19:30P. Hanel1.331111113R. Guliak3.259560LOct 8 · 18:00R. Guliak2.381111871M. Jasek1.5313811113LOct 6 · 21:28M. Jasek1.671111113R. Guliak2.106580WOct 6 · 20:00M. Kowolowski1.6118771162R. Guliak2.201611118113WOct 6 · 19:00I. Taichman2.108860R. Guliak1.671111113LOct 6 · 18:30R. Guliak1.91119861M. Jasek1.8081111113
I. Taichman10
WOct 10 · 08:00I. Taichman2.5011118113F. Zurek1.50861191WOct 10 · 06:00I. Taichman1.73691211113R. Kvasnicka2.00111110752LOct 9 · 08:58P. Varecha1.611111113I. Taichman2.208850LOct 9 · 08:30I. Taichman1.535880P. Varecha2.381111113LOct 9 · 07:00I. Taichman2.38631951F. Zurek1.53111117113LOct 9 · 06:00E. Gebek1.9111117113I. Taichman1.80591171WOct 6 · 20:58I. Taichman2.001114113M. Kowolowski1.7351240WOct 6 · 20:30I. Taichman1.5711119113M. Jasek2.25781161LOct 6 · 19:00I. Taichman2.108860R. Guliak1.671111113WOct 6 · 18:00M. Kowolowski1.539460I. Taichman2.381111113
Upcoming Matches
R. Guliak
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I. Taichman
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